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Gaussian Process (GP) models are a class of flexible non-parametric models that have rich representational power. By using a Gaussian process with additive structure, complex responses can be modelled whilst retaining interpretability.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Xiaoyu Lu , Alexis Boukouvalas , James Hensman

Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk

We introduce Deep Sigma Point Processes, a class of parametric models inspired by the compositional structure of Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs). Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) retain many of the attractive features of (variational)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

The pair contact process (PCP) is a nonequilibrium stochastic model which, like the basic contact process (CP), exhibits a phase transition to an absorbing state. The two models belong to the directed percolation (DP) universality class,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 F. L. Santos , Ronald Dickman , U. L. Fulco

Trawl processes are a family of continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary processes whose correlation structure is entirely characterized by their so-called trawl function. This paper investigates the problem of estimating…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Orimar Sauri

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have recently proved to be a useful class of models in several areas of statistics, including spatial statistics, statistical learning and telecommunications networks. They are models for repulsive (or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

Gaussian processes (GPs) are typically criticised for their unfavourable scaling in both computational and memory requirements. For large datasets, sparse GPs reduce these demands by conditioning on a small set of inducing variables…

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Non-Gaussian observations such as binary responses are common in some computer experiments. Motivated by the analysis of a class of cell adhesion experiments, we introduce a generalized Gaussian process model for binary responses, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Ying Hung , William Rittase , Cheng Zhu , C. F. Jeff Wu

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

We propose a representation of Gaussian processes (GPs) based on powers of the integral operator defined by a kernel function, we call these stochastic processes integral Gaussian processes (IGPs). Sample paths from IGPs are functions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-08 Zilong Tan , Sayan Mukherjee

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Ising models with pairwise interactions are the least structured, or maximum-entropy, probability distributions that exactly reproduce measured pairwise correlations between spins. Here we use this equivalence to construct Ising models that…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Gasper Tkacik , Elad Schneidman , Michael J Berry , William Bialek

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

We study the problem of estimating the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process based on observations of the points and covariates over a large window. We consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach, and show that a wide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

We propose a novel class of network models for temporal dyadic interaction data. Our goal is to capture a number of important features often observed in social interactions: sparsity, degree heterogeneity, community structure and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron , Yee Whye Teh

Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence