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Related papers: Running minimum in the best-choice problem

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We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

Suppose $N$ independent Bernoulli trials are observed sequentially at random times of a mixed binomial process. The task is to maximise, by using a nonanticipating stopping strategy, the probability of stopping at the last success. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Alexander Gnedin , Zakaria Derbazi

The basic problem of optimal transportation consists in minimizing the expected costs $\mathbb {E}[c(X_1,X_2)]$ by varying the joint distribution $(X_1,X_2)$ where the marginal distributions of the random variables $X_1$ and $X_2$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Mathias Beiglböck , Nicolas Juillet

Given a sequence of independent random variables with a common continuous distribution, we consider the online decision problem where one seeks to minimize the expected value of the time that is needed to complete the selection of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-05 Alessandro Arlotto , Elchanan Mossel , J. Michael Steele

We study the fundamental problem of sampling independent events, called subset sampling. Specifically, consider a set of $n$ events $S=\{x_1, \ldots, x_n\}$, where each event $x_i$ has an associated probability $p(x_i)$. The subset sampling…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Lu Yi , Hanzhi Wang , Zhewei Wei

In this paper we consider two variants of the Secretary problem: The Best-or-Worst and the Postdoc problems. We extend previous work by considering that the number of objects is not known and follows either a discrete Uniform distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 L. Bayon , P. Fortuny , J. M. Grau , M. M Ruiz , M. A. Oller-Marcen

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

Various best-choice problems related to the planar homogeneous Poisson process in finite or semi-infinite rectangle are studied. The analysis is largely based on properties of the one-dimensional box-area process associated with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin

Robbins' problem of optimal stopping asks one to minimise the expected {\it rank} of observation chosen by some nonanticipating stopping rule. We settle a conjecture regarding the {\it value} of the stopped variable under the rule optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Alexander Gnedin , Alexander Iksanov

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

The problem of sequentially finding an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) sequence that is drawn from a probability distribution $f_1$ by searching over multiple sequences, some of which are drawn from $f_1$ and the others of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-10 Jun Geng , Weiyu Xu , Lifeng Lai

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

In a classical optimal stopping problem in continuous time, the agent can choose any stopping time without constraint. Dupuis and Wang (Optimal stopping with random intervention times, Advances in Applied Probability, 34, 141--157, 2002)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

We derive a lower bound for the probability that a random walk with i.i.d.\ increments and small negative drift $\mu$ exceeds the value $x>0$ by time $N$. When the moment generating functions are bounded in an interval around the origin,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Ofer Busani , Timo Seppäläinen

We develop an approach for solving one-sided optimal stopping problems in discrete time for general underlying Markov processes on the real line. The main idea is to transform the problem into an auxiliary problem for the ladder height…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle

We study the problem of testing the goodness of fit of categorical count data to a Poisson distribution uniform over the categories, against a class of alternatives defined by excluding an $\ell_p$ ball, $p \leq 2$, of radius $\epsilon$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Alon Kipnis

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

A multi-source quickest detection problem is considered. Assume there are two independent Poisson processes $X^{1}$ and $X^{2}$ with disorder times $\theta_{1}$ and $\theta_{2}$, respectively; that is, the intensities of $X^1$ and $X^2$…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper, we study a class of stochastic optimal control problem with jumps under partial information. More precisely, the controlled systems are described by a fully coupled nonlinear multi- dimensional forward-backward stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-11-18 Qingxin Meng

We study a version of the classical Cayley-Moser optimal stopping problem, in which a seller must sell an asset by a given deadline, with the offers, which are independent random variables with a known distribution, arriving at random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Guy Katriel