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Related papers: Detecting chaos in hurricane intensity

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We analyze probe data obtained from a toroidal magnetized plasma configuration suitable for studies of low-frequency gradient-driven instabilities. These instabilities give rise to field-aligned convection rolls analogous to Rayleigh-Benard…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Tatjana Zivkovic , Kristoffer Rypdal

We introduce new machine-learning techniques for analyzing chaotic dynamical systems. The primary objectives of the study include the development of a new and simple method for calculating the Lyapunov exponent using only two trajectory…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-06 Lazare Osmanov

Large-scale data are often characterized by some degree of inhomogeneity as data are either recorded in different time regimes or taken from multiple sources. We look at regression models and the effect of randomly changing coefficients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

We use an extensive NOAA database of hourly precipitation data from 5995 stations in the 48 contiguous United States over the period 1949--2009 to investigate possible trends in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, defined…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-01-25 L. M. Canel , J. I. Katz

We propose currently feasible experiments using small, isolated systems of ultracold atoms to investigate the effects of dynamical chaos in the microscopic onset of irreversibility. A control parameter is tuned past a critical value, then…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2019-10-07 Ralf Bürkle , Amichay Vardi , Doron Cohen , James R. Anglin

Gas-solid multiphase flows are prone to develop an instability known as clustering. Two-fluid models, which treat the particulate phase as a continuum, are known to reproduce the qualitative features of this instability, producing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-23 William D. Fullmer , Christine M. Hrenya

Accurate forecasting of Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is crucial for formulating disaster risk reduction strategies. Current methods predominantly rely on limited spatiotemporal information from ERA5 data and neglect the causal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Xinyu Wang , Kang Chen , Lei Liu , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

We study chaotic synchronization in networks with time-delayed coupling. We introduce the notion of strong and weak chaos, distinguished by the scaling properties of the maximum Lyapunov exponent within the synchronization manifold for…

Using large-scale parallel numerical simulations we explore spatiotemporal chaos in Rayleigh-B\'enard convection in a cylindrical domain with experimentally relevant boundary conditions. We use the variation of the spectrum of Lyapunov…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-03 Alireza Karimi , Mark R. Paul

Two properties are needed for a classical system to be chaotic: exponential stretching and mixing. Recently, out-of-time order correlators were proposed as a measure of chaos in a wide range of physical systems. While most of the attention…

Predicting tropical cyclone (TC) rapid intensification (RI) is an important yet challenging task in current operational forecast due to our incomplete understanding of TC nonlinear processes. This study examines the variability of RI onset,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Chanh Kieu , Dimitrios Sakellariou , Mahashweta Patra

Fast and accurate prediction of hurricane evolution from genesis onwards is needed to reduce loss of life and enhance community resilience. In this work, a novel model development methodology for predicting storm trajectory is proposed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-25 Rikhi Bose , Adam Pintar , Emil Simiu

Cooperative behaviors near the disorder-induced critical point in a random field Ising model are numerically investigated by analyzing time-dependent magnetization in ordering processes from a special initial condition. We find that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-06 Hiroki Ohta , Shin-ichi Sasa

We investigate chaos synchronization of small-scale motions in the three-dimensional turbulent energy cascade, via pseudo-spectral simulations of the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. The modes of the turbulent velocity field below…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-12 Cristian C Lalescu , Charles Meneveau , Gregory L Eyink

Reliable prediction of large chaotic sytems in the short to middle time range is of interest in a number of fields, including climate, ecology, seismology, and economics. In this paper, results from chaos theory, and statistical theory are…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-17 M. LuValle

Storm surge and waves are responsible for a substantial portion of tropical and extratropical cyclones-related damages. While high-fidelity numerical models have significantly advanced the simulation accuracy of storm surge and waves, they…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki

Understanding and optimizing passive scalar mixing in a diffusive fluid flow at finite P\'eclet number $Pe=U h/\kappa$ (where $U$ and $h$ are characteristic velocity and length scales, and $\kappa$ is the molecular diffusivisity of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-18 Conor Heffernan , Colm-cille Caulfield

Chaos-based potentials are defined and implemented in the one-dimensional tight-binding model as a way of simulating disorder-controlled crystalline lattices. In this setting, disorder is handled with the aid of the chaoticity parameter.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-01-25 Weslley Florentino de Oliveira , Giancarlo Queiroz Pellegrino

Tropical cyclones are among the most consequential weather hazards, yet estimates of their risk are limited by the relatively short historical record. To extend these records, researchers often generate large ensembles of synthetic storms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Kenneth Gee , Sai Ravela

Eccentric mixing is a typical chaotic mixing method, and the study of its mixing characteristics is beneficial to the optimization of the mixing process. In this study, the effects of eccentricity (E/R) and rotational speed (N) on the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Ronfgang Wang , Lijun Zhao , Yunshi Yao