Related papers: Detecting chaos in hurricane intensity
We study the dynamics of a quantum $p$-spin glass model starting from initial states defined in microcanonical shells, in a classical regime. We compute different chaos estimators, such as the Lyapunov exponent and the Kolmogorov-Sinai…
This work proposes a methodology for estimating recovery times for transmission lines and substations, and is demonstrated on a real-world 1269-bus power system model of Puerto Rico under 20 hurricane scenarios, or stochastic realizations…
A new phenomenon, entrainment of chaos, which is understood as a seizure of an irregular behavior by limit cycles, is discussed. As a result, chaotic cycles appear if the chaos amplitude is small. Otherwise, the chaos is not necessarily…
The period doubling phenomenon was recently discovered in RR Lyrae stars with the Kepler space telescope and has been theoretically explained by hydrodynamic calculations. However, peculiar solutions of the Florida-Budapest turbulent…
In this numerical study, recurrence quantification analysis of chaotic trajectories is explored to detect atypical dynamical behaviour in non-linear Hamiltonian systems. An ensemble of initial conditions is evolved up to a maximum iteration…
We study how spatiotemporal chaos in dynamical systems can be controlled by stochastically returning them to their initial conditions. Focusing on discrete nonlinear maps, we analyze how key measures of chaos -- the Lyapunov exponent and…
We consider ray propagation in a waveguide with a designed sound-speed profile perturbed by a range-dependent perturbation caused by internal waves in deep ocean environments. The Hamiltonian formalism in terms of the action and angle…
Different aspects of the predictability problem in dynamical systems are reviewed. The deep relation among Lyapunov exponents, Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy, Shannon entropy and algorithmic complexity is discussed. In particular, we emphasize…
Chaotic dynamics, commonly seen in weather systems and fluid turbulence, are characterized by their sensitivity to initial conditions, which makes accurate prediction challenging. Recent approaches have focused on developing data-driven…
In the face of escalating climate changes, typhoon intensities and their ensuing damage have surged. Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for effective damage control. Traditional physics-based models, while comprehensive, are…
For general dissipative dynamical systems we study what fraction of solutions exhibit chaotic behavior depending on the dimensionality $d$ of the phase space. We find that a system of $d$ globally coupled ODE's with quadratic and cubic…
Tropical cyclones present a serious threat to many coastal communities around the world. Many numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic forecasts with limited measures of their forecast uncertainty. Standard postprocessing…
Chaotic features of systems of coupled Josephson junctions are studied. Manifestation of chaos in the temporal dependence of the electric charge, related to a parametric resonance, is demonstrated through the calculation of the maximal…
We investigate the orbits of compact binary systems during the final inspiral period before coalescence by integrating numerically the second-order post-Newtonian equations of motion. We include spin-orbit and spin-spin coupling terms,…
Hamiltonian trajectories are strictly time-reversible. Any time series of Hamiltonian coordinates {q} satisfying Hamilton's motion equations will likewise satisfy them when played "backwards", with the corresponding momenta changing signs :…
Lyapunov exponents measure the average exponential growth rate of typical linear perturbations in a chaotic system, and the inverse of the largest exponent is a measure of the time horizon over which the evolution of the system can be…
Natural climate variability, captured through multiple initial condition ensembles, may be comparable to the variability caused by knowledge gaps in future emissions trajectories and in the physical science basis, especially at…
In the last decade it has been shown that a large class of phase oscillator models admit low dimensional descriptions for the macroscopic system dynamics in the limit of an infinite number N of oscillators. The question of whether the…
We study the coherent dynamics of globally coupled maps showing macroscopic chaos. With this term we indicate the hydrodynamical-like irregular behaviour of some global observables, with typical times much longer than the times related to…
Chaotic systems have been investigated in the most diverse areas. One of the first steps in chaotic system research is the detection of chaos. The largest Lyapunov exponent (LLE) is one of the most widely used techniques for this purpose.…