Related papers: Birth-and-death Processes in Python: The BirDePy P…
Models of counts-of-counts data have been extensively used in the biological sciences, for example in cancer, population genetics, sampling theory and ecology. In this paper we explore properties of one model that is embedded into a…
A dissipative particle dynamics (DPD) model for the quantitative simulation of biofilm growth controlled by substrate (nutrient) consumption, advective and diffusive substrate transport, and hydrodynamic interactions with fluid flow…
A method yielding simple relationships among bilateral birth-and-death processes is outlined. This allows one to relate birth and death rates of two processes in such a way that their transition probabilities, first-passage-time densities…
Markov decision processes (MDPs) describe sequential decision-making processes; MDP policies return for every state in that process an advised action. Classical algorithms can efficiently compute policies that are optimal with respect to,…
In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…
A phylogenetic birth-and-death model is a probabilistic graphical model for a so-called phylogenetic profile, i.e., the size distribution for a homolog gene family at the terminal nodes of a phylogeny. Profile datasets are used in…
Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…
A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…
The study of trajectories is often a core task in several research fields. In environmental modelling, trajectories are crucial to study fluid pollution, animal migrations, oil slick patterns or land movements. In this contribution, we…
We present d3p, a software package designed to help fielding runtime efficient widely-applicable Bayesian inference under differential privacy guarantees. d3p achieves general applicability to a wide range of probabilistic modelling…
This paper introduces madupite, a high-performance distributed solver for large-scale Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). MDPs are widely used to model complex dynamical systems in various fields, including finance, epidemiology, and traffic…
Current work in explainable reinforcement learning generally produces policies in the form of a decision tree over the state space. Such policies can be used for formal safety verification, agent behavior prediction, and manual inspection…
The two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet Process (PDP), a generalisation of the Dirichlet Process, is increasingly being used for probabilistic modelling in discrete areas such as language technology, bioinformatics, and image analysis. There is…
Binary population synthesis (BPS) modelling is a very effective tool to study the evolution and properties of close binary systems. The uncertainty in the parameters of the model and their effect on a population can be tested in a…
This chapter focuses on variable maturation delay or, more precisely, on the mathematical description of a size-structured population consuming an unstructured resource. When the resource concentration is a known function of time, we can…
The use of Digital Twins is set to transform the manufacturing sector by aiding monitoring and real-time decision making. For several applications in this sector, the system to be modeled consists of a mix of discrete-event and continuous…
Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…
Benthic algae as a primary producer in riverine ecosystems develop biofilms on the riverbed. Their population dynamics involve growth and decay processes, the former owing to the balance between biological proliferation and mortality, while…
Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…
This tutorial paper presents a hands-on perspective on probabilistic model checking with the Storm model checker. Storm is a decade-old model checker that excels in performance and a rich Python-based ecosystem, which makes it easy to…