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We propose a sequential nonparametric test for detecting a change in distribution, based on windowed Kolmogorov--Smirnov statistics. The approach is simple, robust, highly computationally efficient, easy to calibrate, and requires no…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

Testing the significance of a variable or group of variables $X$ for predicting a response $Y$, given additional covariates $Z$, is a ubiquitous task in statistics. A simple but common approach is to specify a linear model, and then test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Anton Rask Lundborg , Ilmun Kim , Rajen D. Shah , Richard J. Samworth

We introduce a new test for conditional independence which is based on what we call the weighted generalised covariance measure (WGCM). It is an extension of the recently introduced generalised covariance measure (GCM). To test the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Cyrill Scheidegger , Julia Hörrmann , Peter Bühlmann

In this paper we consider tests for nonlinear time series, which are motivated by the notion of serial dependence. The proposed tests are based on comparisons with the quantile spectral density, which can be considered as a quantile version…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-13 Junbum Lee , Suhasini Subba Rao

Independence and Conditional Independence (CI) are two fundamental concepts in probability and statistics, which can be applied to solve many central problems of statistical inference. There are many existing independence and CI measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Jian Ma

In this article, we introduce the mean independent component analysis for multivariate time series to reduce the parameter space. In particular, we seek for a contemporaneous linear transformation that detects univariate mean independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Chung Eun Lee , Zeda Li

We consider settings in which the data of interest correspond to pairs of ordered times, e.g, the birth times of the first and second child, the times at which a new user creates an account and makes the first purchase on a website, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Tamara Fernández , Wenkai Xu , Marc Ditzhaus , Arthur Gretton

We propose a nonparametric approach to testing conditional independence and estimating conditional association, generalizing the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel (CMH) test and odds-ratio estimator to continuous sample spaces. It leverages a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Gyeonghun Kang , Jialiang Mao , Li Ma

In this paper, we introduce a new method for testing the stationarity of time series, where the test statistic is obtained from measuring and maximising the difference in the second-order structure over pairs of randomly drawn intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

In this paper, we propose a novel framework for non-stationary time-series analysis that replaces conventional correlation-based statistics with direct estimation of statistical dependence in the normalized joint density of input and target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Yao Sun , Bo Hu , Jose Principe

Testing cross-sectional independence in panel data models is of fundamental importance in econometric analysis with high-dimensional panels. Recently, econometricians began to turn their attention to the problem in the presence of serial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Hongfei Wang , Binghui Liu , Long Feng , Yanyuan Ma

As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Ze Jin , Xiaohan Yan , David S. Matteson

We consider a nonparametric autoregression model under conditional heteroscedasticity with the aim to test whether the innovation distribution changes in time. To this end we develop an asymptotic expansion for the sequential empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Leonie Selk , Natalie Neumeyer

The model-X conditional randomization test is a generic framework for conditional independence testing, unlocking new possibilities to discover features that are conditionally associated with a response of interest while controlling type-I…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Shalev Shaer , Yaniv Romano

We consider the task of modeling a dependent sequence of random partitions. It is well-known that a random measure in Bayesian nonparametrics induces a distribution over random partitions. The community has therefore assumed that the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , David B. Dahl

We consider a linear regression model and propose an omnibus test to simultaneously check the assumption of independence between the error and the predictor variables, and the goodness-of-fit of the parametric model. Our approach is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-06 Arnab Sen , Bodhisattva Sen

In this paper, we prove a conditional limit theorem for independent not necessarily identically distributed random variables. Namely, we obtain the asymptotic distribution of a large number of them given the sum.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Dimbihery Rabenoro

This paper proposes a model-free nonparametric estimator of conditional quantile of a time series regression model where the covariate vector is repeated many times for different values of the response. This type of data is abound in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Soudeep Deb , Kaushik Jana

Conditional independence tests are crucial across various disciplines in determining the independence of an outcome variable $Y$ from a treatment variable $X$, conditioning on a set of confounders $Z$. The Conditional Randomization Test…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Bowen Xu , Yiwen Huang , Chuan Hong , Shuangning Li , Molei Liu

Conditional independence (CI) tests underlie many approaches to model testing and structure learning in causal inference. Most existing CI tests for categorical and ordinal data stratify the sample by the conditioning variables, perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Ankur Ankan , Johannes Textor