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Advanced Aerial Mobility (AAM) operations require strategic flight planning services that predict both spatial and temporal uncertainties to safely validate flight plans against hazards such as weather cells, restricted airspaces, and CNS…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Balram Kandoria , Aryaman Singh Samyal

This paper introduces a computational framework to reconstruct and forecast a partially observed state that evolves according to an unknown or expensive-to-simulate dynamical system. Our reduced-order autodifferentiable ensemble Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

This article presents an up-to-date tutorial review of nonlinear Bayesian estimation. State estimation for nonlinear systems has been a challenge encountered in a wide range of engineering fields, attracting decades of research effort. To…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Huazhen Fang , Ning Tian , Yebin Wang , MengChu Zhou , Mulugeta A. Haile

A robust desensitized cubature Kalman filtering (DCKF) for nonlinear systems with uncertain parameter is proposed. Sensitivity matrices are defined as the integral form, and desensitized cost function is designed by penalizing the posterior…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-12-25 Taishan Lou

This paper presents a novel adaptive fading cubature Kalman filter (AFCKF) based on double transitive factors. The developed adaptive algorithm is explained in two stages; stage (i) a single transitive factor is used to update the predicted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-26 Mundla Narasimhappa

Accurate platform localization is an integral component of most robotic systems. As these robotic systems become more ubiquitous, it is necessary to develop robust state estimation algorithms that are able to withstand novel and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

We propose a numerical method for discovering unknown parameterized dynamical systems by using observational data of the state variables. Our method is built upon and extends the recent work of discovering unknown dynamical systems, in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

It is known that the conventional estimators such as extended Kalman filter (EKF) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF) may provide favorable performance; However, they may not guarantee the robustness against model uncertainty and cyber…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-28 Tohid Kargar Tasooji , Sakineh Khodadadi

The information contained in a time series is more than what the values themselves are. In this paper, the Time-variant Local Autocorrelated Polynomial model with Kalman filter is proposed to model the underlying dynamics of a time series…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Shixiong Wang , Chongshou Li , Andrew Lim

We propose analytical mean square error (MSE) expressions for the Kalman filter (KF) and the Kalman smoother (KS) for benchmark studies, where the true system dynamics are unknown or unavailable to the estimator. In such cases, as in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Batin Kurt , Umut Orguner

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

We develop data-driven algorithms to fully automate sensor fault detection in systems governed by underlying physics. The proposed machine learning method uses a time series of typical behavior to approximate the evolution of measurements…

The Kalman Filter (KF) parameters are traditionally determined by noise estimation, since under the KF assumptions, the state prediction errors are minimized when the parameters correspond to the noise covariance. However, noise estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Ido Greenberg , Shie Mannor , Netanel Yannay

Modern autonomous systems are purposed for many challenging scenarios, where agents will face unexpected events and complicated tasks. The presence of disturbance noise with control command and unknown inputs can negatively impact robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Zida Wu , Zhaoliang Zheng , Ankur Mehta

In this paper, in order to enhance the numerical stability of the unscented Kalman filter (UKF) used for power system dynamic state estimation, a new UKF with guaranteed positive semidifinite estimation error covariance (UKF-GPS) is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Junjian Qi , Kai Sun , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu

Identifying parameters in a system of nonlinear, ordinary differential equations is vital for designing a robust controller. However, if the system is stochastic in its nature or if only noisy measurements are available, standard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-10 Tobias Nagel , Marco F. Huber

Self-assessment is a key to safety and robustness in automated driving. In order to design safer and more robust automated driving functions, the goal is to self-assess the performance of each module in a whole automated driving system. One…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-02 Thomas Griebel , Johannes Müller , Michael Buchholz , Klaus Dietmayer

Kalman filtering is a classic state estimation technique used in application areas such as signal processing and autonomous control of vehicles. It is now being used to solve problems in computer systems such as controlling the voltage and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-01 Yan Pei , Swarnendu Biswas , Donald S. Fussell , Keshav Pingali

The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a cornerstone of nonlinear state estimation, yet its performance is fundamentally limited by noise-model mismatch and linearization errors. We develop a residual-aware distributionally robust EKF that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Minhyuk Jang , Jungjin Lee , Astghik Hakobyan , Naira Hovakimyan , Insoon Yang

This paper describes a method for the online state estimation of systems described by a general class of linear noncausal time-varying difference descriptor equations subject to uncertainties. The method is based on the notions of a linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-11-09 Serhiy M. Zhuk