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Oscillators are ubiquitous in nature, and usually associated with the existence of an asymptotic phase that governs the long-term dynamics of the oscillator. % We show that asymptotic phase can be estimated using a carefully chosen series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Simon Wilshin , Matthew D. Kvalheim , Clayton Scott , Shai Revzen

Posterior distributions for community structure in sparse planted bi-section models are shown to achieve exact (resp. almost-exact) recovery, with sharp bounds for the sparsity regimes where edge probabilities decrease as $O(\log(n)/n)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-03 B. J. K. Kleijn , J. van Waaij

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

This paper considers linear panel data models where the dependence of the regressors and the unobservables is modelled through a factor structure. The asymptotic setting is such that the number of time periods and the sample size both go to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Jad Beyhum , Eric Gautier

We define the group-lasso estimator for the natural parameters of the exponential families of distributions representing hierarchical log-linear models under multinomial sampling scheme. Such estimator arises as the solution of a convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-31 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo

A method for an evaluation of the error between an unknown parameter and its estimator is developed. Its application enables us to preserve the asymptotic power of a constructed test. Testing problems in AR(1) and ARCH models are studied…

Applications · Statistics 2013-08-28 Tewfik Lounis

To evaluate and control bubble front penetration depth ${{h}_{B}}$ induced by ablative Rayleigh-Taylor instability (ARTI) from a weakly nonlinear phase to a self-similar phase, we first propose an improved buoyancy-drag (BD) model with a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-03 Dongxue Liu , Tao Tao , Jun Li , Qing Jia , Rui Yan , Jian Zheng

We study long-time properties of reversible reaction-diffusion systems of type A + B <-> C by means of perturbation expansion in powers of 1/t (inverse of time). For the case of equal diffusion coefficients we present exact formulas for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Zbigniew Koza

In this paper we propose a data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control framework for constrained stochastic systems with unbounded additive disturbances. Recursive feasibility is ensured by optimizing over an linearly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Keeping a basic tenet of economic theory, rational expectations, we model the nonlinear positive feedback between agents in the stock market as an interplay between nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. The derived hyperbolic stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra

In this paper it is showed that if a time-varying uncertain system is robustly completely detectable then there exists an estimator for this system, i.e. we can estimate asymptotically the state vector of the system. Moreover, if a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Iasson Karafyllis , Costas Kravaris

By combining (i) the economic theory of rational expectation bubbles, (ii) behavioral finance on imitation and herding of investors and traders and (iii) the mathematical and statistical physics of bifurcations and phase transitions, the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-08 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette , Ryan Woodard , Ken Bastiaensen , Peter Cauwels

We present in a detailed manner the scaling theory of irreversible aggregation characterized by the set of reaction rates $K(k,l)=1/k+1/l$, as well as a minor generalisation thereof. In this case, it is possible to evaluate the scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-17 Francois Leyvraz

Within quantum mechanics model we study the problem of resummation of an asymptotic perturbation series for bound state parameters via optimization of the perturbative expansion. A possible application of the method to the positronium…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-28 A. A. Penin , A. A. Pivovarov

This paper deals with the state estimation problem in discrete-event systems modeled with nondeterministic finite automata, partially observed via a sensor measuring unit whose measurements (reported observations) may be vitiated by a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Yuting Li , Christoforos N. Hadjicostis , Naiqi Wu , Zhiwu Li

This paper proposes a valid bootstrap-based distributional approximation for M-estimators exhibiting a Chernoff (1964)-type limiting distribution. For estimators of this kind, the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent. The method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

We study the behavior of high-dimensional robust regression estimators in the asymptotic regime where $p/n$ tends to a finite non-zero limit. More specifically, we study ridge-regularized estimators, i.e…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Noureddine El Karoui

This paper studies asymptotic consensus in systems in which agents do not necessarily have self-confidence, i.e., may disregard their own value during execution of the update rule. We show that the prevalent hypothesis of self-confidence in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Thomas Nowak
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