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Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

We revisit the classical problem of estimating an unknown distribution from its samples by fitting a mixture model that minimizes cross-entropy loss. Framing the task as a stochastic convex optimization problem over the space of $ M…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Mohammadreza Ahmadypour , Tara Javidi , Farinaz Koushanfar

In the context of nonparametric regression, we study conditions under which the consistency (and rates of convergence) of estimators built from discretely sampled curves can be derived from the consistency of estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Forzani Liliana , Fraiman Ricardo , Llop Pamela

We present a theory for simultaneous approximation of the score function and its derivatives, enabling the handling of data distributions with low-dimensional structure and unbounded support. Our approximation error bounds match those in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Konstantin Yakovlev , Nikita Puchkin

We establish the first global convergence result of neural networks for two stage least squares (2SLS) approach in nonparametric instrumental variable regression (NPIV). This is achieved by adopting a lifted perspective through mean-field…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Zonghao Chen , Atsushi Nitanda , Arthur Gretton , Taiji Suzuki

Deep neural networks (DNN) are versatile parametric models utilised successfully in a diverse number of tasks and domains. However, they have limitations---particularly from their lack of robustness and over-sensitivity to out of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-01 John Mitros , Brian Mac Namee

The machine learning literature contains several constructions for prediction intervals that are intuitively reasonable but ultimately ad-hoc in that they do not come with provable performance guarantees. We present methods from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Danijel Kivaranovic , Kory D. Johnson , Hannes Leeb

Neural point estimators are neural networks that map data to parameter point estimates. They are fast, likelihood free and, due to their amortised nature, amenable to fast bootstrap-based uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we aim to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Raphaël Huser

Nonparametric regression with random design is considered. Estimates are defined by minimzing a penalized empirical $L_2$ risk over a suitably chosen class of neural networks with one hidden layer via gradient descent. Here, the gradient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Alina Braun , Michael Kohler , Harro Walk

We propose a deep neural network (DNN) based least distance (LD) estimator (DNN-LD) for a multivariate regression problem, addressing the limitations of the conventional methods. Due to the flexibility of a DNN structure, both linear and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Jungmin Shin , Seung Jun Shin , Sungwan Bang

Generalization error bounds for deep neural networks trained by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) are derived by combining a dynamical control of an appropriate parameter norm and the Rademacher complexity estimate based on parameter norms.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Mingze Wang , Chao Ma

We derive a new margin-based regularization formulation, termed multi-margin regularization (MMR), for deep neural networks (DNNs). The MMR is inspired by principles that were applied in margin analysis of shallow linear classifiers, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Berry Weinstein , Shai Fine , Yacov Hel-Or

Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

More competent learning models are demanded for data processing due to increasingly greater amounts of data available in applications. Data that we encounter often have certain embedded sparsity structures. That is, if they are represented…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Yuesheng Xu , Taishan Zeng

We study the approximation capacity of deep ReLU recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and explore the convergence properties of nonparametric least squares regression using RNNs. We derive upper bounds on the approximation error of RNNs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Yuling Jiao , Yang Wang , Bokai Yan

Neural Networks (NNs) are the method of choice for building learning algorithms. Their popularity stems from their empirical success on several challenging learning problems. However, most scholars agree that a convincing theoretical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Ronald DeVore , Boris Hanin , Guergana Petrova

Neural Bayes estimators are neural networks that approximate Bayes estimators in a fast and likelihood-free manner. Although they are appealing to use with spatial models, where estimation is often a computational bottleneck, neural Bayes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

Since statistical guarantees for neural networks are usually restricted to global optima of intricate objective functions, it is unclear whether these theories explain the performances of actual outputs of neural network pipelines. The goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Mahsa Taheri , Fang Xie , Johannes Lederer

We study the minimax estimation of $\alpha$-divergences between discrete distributions for integer $\alpha\ge 1$, which include the Kullback--Leibler divergence and the $\chi^2$-divergences as special examples. Dropping the usual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman
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