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The relation between wildfire orientation and size is analyzed by means of a nonparametric test for directional-linear independence. The test statistic is designed for assessing the independence between two random variables of different…

Wildfires are highly imbalanced natural hazards in both space and severity, making the prediction of extreme events particularly challenging. In this work, we introduce the first ordinal classification framework for forecasting wildfire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Nicolas Caron , Christophe Guyeux , Hassan Noura , Benjamin Aynes

We consider an individual-based two-dimensional spatial model with nearest-neighbor preemptive competition to study front propagation between an invader and a resident species. In particular, we investigate the asymptotic front velocity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 L. O'Malley , B. Kozma , G. Korniss , Z. Racz , T. Caraco

This article investigates a mathematical model for bushfire propagation, focusing on the existence and properties of translating solutions. We obtain quantitative bounds on the environmental diffusion coefficient and ignition kernels,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Serena Dipierro , Enrico Valdinoci , Glen Wheeler , Valentina-Mira Wheeler

Windstorms are a primary natural hazard affecting Europe that are commonly linked to substantial property and infrastructural damage and are responsible for the largest spatially aggregated financial losses. Such extreme winds are typically…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-10 Paul Sharkey , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon J. Brown

In this article we investigate the semiflow properties of a class of state-dependent delay differential equations which is motivated by some models describing the dynamics of the number of adult trees in forests. We investigate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-25 Pierre Magal , Zhengyang Zhang

The set of all possible configurations of the Ehrenfest wind-tree model endowed with the Hausdorff topology is a compact metric space. For a typical configuration we show that the wind-tree dynamics has infinite ergodic index in almost…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Alba Málaga , Serge Troubetzkoy

We prove the well-posedness of a differential equation that describes the evolution of the large-system limit of the empirical age measure in the mean field forest fire model of R\'ath and T\'oth (arXiv:0808.2116). This forest fire model is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Edward Crane

Finsler geometry is a natural and fundamental generalization of Riemann geometry, and is a tool to research Lorentz invariance violation. We find the connection between the most general modified dispersion relation and a pseudo-Finsler…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-05-02 Jie Zhu , Bo-Qiang Ma

Deformed relativistic kinematics is a framework which captures effects, that are expected from particles and fields propagating on a quantum spacetime, effectively. They are formulated in terms of a modified dispersion relation and a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-09-07 Iarley P. Lobo , Christian Pfeifer , Pedro H. Morais , Rafael Alves Batista , Valdir B. Bezerra

In this paper we investigate the acceleration of the expansion of premixed spherical flames and evolution of the cellular patterns on their surfaces. An asymptotic model is used for the simulations and a spectral numerical algorithm is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-01 V. Karlin , G. Sivashinsky

Consider the following forest-fire model on the upper half-plane of the triangular lattice: Each site can be "vacant" or "occupied by a tree". At time 0 all sites are vacant. Then the process is governed by the following random dynamics:…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-10 Robert Graf

In a full 3D context, we study a projectile subject to linear drag, a non-uniform gravitational field, time-dependent wind, and parameterized atmospheric thinning. In this general context, we provide integral solutions, exact to $\mathcal{…

Classical Physics · Physics 2024-11-05 Nick Lorenzo

We propose a time-domain boundary integral method to model linear wave propagation with refractive, focusing, and Doppler effects arising from medium heterogeneities and moving obstacles. In contrast to existing techniques, our method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Raaghav Ramani

Proper knowledge of velocity is required in accurately determining enormous destructive energy of a landslide. We present the first physics-based general analytical landslide velocity model that incorporates internal deformation and…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-06-17 Shiva P. Pudasaini , Michael Krautblatter

We establish the convergence of threshold dynamics-type approximation schemes to propagating fronts evolving according to an anisotropic mean curvature motion in the presence of a forcing term depending on both time and position, thus…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Bohdan Bulanyi , Berardo Ruffini

Wildfires pose a severe threat to the ecosystem and economy, and risk assessment is typically based on fire danger indices such as the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) used in Australia. Studying the joint tail dependence structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-09 Daniela Cisneros , Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser

We consider random dynamics on the edges of a uniform Cayley tree with $n$ vertices, in which edges are either inflammable, fireproof, or burt. Every inflammable edge is replaced by a fireproof edge at unit rate, while fires start at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Jean Bertoin

Wildfires are uncontrolled fires in the environment that can be caused by humans or nature. In 2020 alone, wildfires in California have burned 4.2 million acres, damaged 10,500 buildings or structures, and killed more than 31 people,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Samarth Shah

Different classes of phenomenological universalities of environment dependent growths have been proposed. The logistic as well as environment dependent West-type allometry based biological growth can be explained in this proposed framework…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-23 Dibyendu Biswas , Swarup Poria
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