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In industrial machine learning pipelines, data often arrive in parts. Particularly in the case of deep neural networks, it may be too expensive to train the model from scratch each time, so one would rather use a previously learned model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-29 Max Kochurov , Timur Garipov , Dmitry Podoprikhin , Dmitry Molchanov , Arsenii Ashukha , Dmitry Vetrov

Bayesian methods have become a popular way to incorporate prior knowledge and a notion of uncertainty into machine learning models. At the same time, the complexity of modern machine learning makes it challenging to comprehend a model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Sarem Seitz

The mean-field theory for two-layer neural networks considers infinitely wide networks that are linearly parameterized by a probability measure over the parameter space. This nonparametric perspective has significantly advanced both the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Sinho Chewi , Philippe Rigollet , Yuling Yan

Combining Bayesian nonparametrics and a forward model selection strategy, we construct parsimonious Bayesian deep networks (PBDNs) that infer capacity-regularized network architectures from the data and require neither cross-validation nor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Mingyuan Zhou

Restricted Boltzmann machines are energy models made of a visible and a hidden layer. We identify an effective energy function describing the zero-temperature landscape on the visible units and depending only on the tail behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Giuseppe Genovese

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

It is desirable, and often a necessity, for machine learning models to be robust against adversarial attacks. This is particularly true for Bayesian models, as they are well-suited for safety-critical applications, in which adversarial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-08 Arno Blaas , Stephen J. Roberts

In modern deep learning, there is a recent and growing literature on the interplay between large-width asymptotic properties of deep Gaussian neural networks (NNs), i.e. deep NNs with Gaussian-distributed weights, and Gaussian stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini , Stefano Peluchetti

A common theoretical approach to understanding neural networks is to take an infinite-width limit, at which point the outputs become Gaussian process (GP) distributed. This is known as a neural network Gaussian process (NNGP). However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Ben Anson , Edward Milsom , Laurence Aitchison

Understanding real-world dynamical phenomena remains a challenging task. Across various scientific disciplines, machine learning has advanced as the go-to technology to analyze nonlinear dynamical systems, identify patterns in big data, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Kevin Linka , Amelie Schafer , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , George Em Karniadakis , Ellen Kuhl

These lecture notes develop the theory of learning in deep and recurrent neuronal networks from the point of view of Bayesian inference. The aim is to enable the reader to understand typical computations found in the literature in this…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-02-16 Moritz Helias , Javed Lindner , Lars Schutzeichel , Zohar Ringel

In this article we study the tail probability of the mass of Gaussian multiplicative chaos. With the novel use of a Tauberian argument and Goldie's implicit renewal theorem, we provide a unified approach to general log-correlated Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Mo Dick Wong

Progress in neuroscience has provided unprecedented opportunities to advance our understanding of brain alterations and their correspondence to phenotypic profiles. With data collected from various imaging techniques, studies have…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-01 Zhe Sun , Wanwan Xu , Tianxi Li , Jian Kang , Gregorio Alanis-Lobato , Yize Zhao

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Universal approximation theorems provide a mathematical explanation for the expressive power of neural networks. They assert that, under mild conditions on the activation function, feedforward neural networks are dense in broad function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee , Himasish Talukdar

The task of quantifying the inherent uncertainty associated with neural network predictions is a key challenge in artificial intelligence. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensembles are among the most prominent approaches to tackle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Valentin Villecroze , Yixin Wang , Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem

Bayesian neural networks that incorporate data augmentation implicitly use a ``randomly perturbed log-likelihood [which] does not have a clean interpretation as a valid likelihood function'' (Izmailov et al. 2021). Here, we provide several…

Bayesian inference of nanohertz gravitational-wave background models in pulsar timing array analyses often relies on Gaussian-process interpolators to avoid repeated, computationally expensive strain-spectrum calculations. However,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-16 Shreyas Tiruvaskar , Chris Gordon

Recent theoretical and empirical successes in deep learning, including the celebrated neural scaling laws, are punctuated by the observation that many objects of interest tend to exhibit some form of heavy-tailed or power law behavior. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Liam Hodgkinson , Zhichao Wang , Michael W. Mahoney

A major issue of extreme value analysis is the determination of the shape parameter $\xi$ common to Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) and Generalized Pareto (GP) distributions, which drives the tail behavior, and is of major impact on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Nicolas Bousquet , Merlin Keller
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