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Importance sampling is a rare event simulation technique used in Monte Carlo simulations to bias the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By assigning appropriate weights to sampled points, importance sampling allows…

We study the estimation problem of distribution-on-distribution regression, where both predictors and responses are probability measures. Existing approaches typically rely on a global optimal transport map or tangent-space linearization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-17 Inga Girshfeld , Xiaohui Chen

The ratio of two probability densities, called a density-ratio, is a vital quantity in machine learning. In particular, a relative density-ratio, which is a bounded extension of the density-ratio, has received much attention due to its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-05 Atsutoshi Kumagai , Tomoharu Iwata , Yasuhiro Fujiwara

This paper presents the recurrent estimation of distributions (RED) for modeling real-valued data in a semiparametric fashion. RED models make two novel uses of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for density estimation of general real-valued…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-31 Junier B. Oliva , Kumar Avinava Dubey , Barnabas Poczos , Eric Xing , Jeff Schneider

We propose an orthogonal series density estimator for complex surveys, where samples are neither independent nor identically distributed. The proposed estimator is proved to be design-unbiased and asymptotically design-consistent. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Shangyuan Ye , Ye Liang , Ibrahim A. Ahmad

The Cross Entropy method is a well-known adaptive importance sampling method for rare-event probability estimation, which requires estimating an optimal importance sampling density within a parametric class. In this article we estimate an…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Z. I. Botev , A. Ridder , L. Rojas-Nandayapa

Model-assisted regression estimation is fundamental in survey sampling for incorporating auxiliary information. However, when the auxiliary dimension grows with the sample size, the standard Generalized regression (GREG) estimator can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Yonghyun Kwon , Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

The problem of modeling the relationship between univariate distributions and one or more explanatory variables has found increasing interest. Traditional functional data methods cannot be applied directly to distributional data because of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

Unrolled computation graphs are prevalent throughout machine learning but present challenges to automatic differentiation (AD) gradient estimation methods when their loss functions exhibit extreme local sensitivtiy, discontinuity, or…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Oscar Li , James Harrison , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Virginia Smith , Luke Metz

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) strengthens statistical learning under model uncertainty by minimizing the local worst-case risk within a prescribed ambiguity set. Although WDRO has been extensively studied in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-12 Changyu Liu , Yuling Jiao , Junhui Wang , Jian Huang

We propose a new sensitivity analysis methodology for complex stochastic dynamics based on the Relative Entropy Rate. The method becomes computationally feasible at the stationary regime of the process and involves the calculation of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 Yannis Pantazis , Markos A. Katsoulakis

By building upon the recent theory that established the connection between implicit generative modeling (IGM) and optimal transport, in this study, we propose a novel parameter-free algorithm for learning the underlying distributions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Antoine Liutkus , Umut Şimşekli , Szymon Majewski , Alain Durmus , Fabian-Robert Stöter

Small-scale turbulence can be comprehensively described in terms of velocity gradients, which makes them an appealing starting point for low-dimensional modeling. Typical models consist of stochastic equations based on closures for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-01 Maurizio Carbone , Vincent J. Peterhans , Alexander S. Ecker , Michael Wilczek

We propose an algorithm, termed the Non-Equilibrium Transport Sampler (NETS), to sample from unnormalized probability distributions. NETS can be viewed as a variant of annealed importance sampling (AIS) based on Jarzynski's equality, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Michael S. Albergo , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Sampling from probability distributions is an important problem in statistics and machine learning, specially in Bayesian inference when integration with respect to posterior distribution is intractable and sampling from the posterior is…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-07 Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Xu Liao , Jin Liu , Yanyan Liu

We propose a novel approach for density estimation with exponential families for the case when the true density may not fall within the chosen family. Our approach augments the sufficient statistics with features designed to accumulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-07 Lin Yuan , Sergey Kirshner , Robert Givan

The use of data-random graphs in statistical testing of spatial patterns is introduced recently. In this approach, a random directed graph is constructed from the data using the relative positions of the points from various classes.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-01 Elvan Ceyhan

Particle-optimization-based sampling (POS) is a recently developed effective sampling technique that interactively updates a set of particles. A representative algorithm is the Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD). We prove, under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Jianyi Zhang , Ruiyi Zhang , Lawrence Carin , Changyou Chen

Flow Matching, a promising approach in generative modeling, has recently gained popularity. Relying on ordinary differential equations, it offers a simple and flexible alternative to diffusion models, which are currently the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Lea Kunkel

The thermodynamic maximum principle for the Boltzmann-Gibbs-Shannon (BGS) entropy is reconsidered by combining elements from group and measure theory. Our analysis starts by noting that the BGS entropy is a special case of relative entropy.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-26 Jörn Dunkel , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi