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Sampling from nonsmooth target probability distributions is essential in various applications, including the Bayesian Lasso. We propose a splitting-based sampling algorithm for the time-implicit discretization of the probability flow for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-14 Fuqun Han , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li

Denoising diffusion models have become ubiquitous for generative modeling. The core idea is to transport the data distribution to a Gaussian by using a diffusion. Approximate samples from the data distribution are then obtained by…

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

This thesis presents Regenerative Rejection Sampling (RRS), a novel approximate sampling algorithm inspired by classical Rejection Sampling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. The method constructs a continuous-time regenerative process…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Tommaso Bozzi

Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs

Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 A. Rodríguez-Casal , P. Saavedra-Nieves

In online applications with streaming data, awareness of how far the training or test set has shifted away from the original dataset can be crucial to the performance of the model. However, we may not have access to historical samples in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-10 Yu Chen , Song Liu , Tom Diethe , Peter Flach

Relative entropy, as a divergence metric between two distributions, can be used for offline change-point detection and extends classical methods that mainly rely on moment-based discrepancies. To build a statistical test suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Matthieu Garcin , Louis Perot

Several emerging post-Bayesian methods target a probability distribution for which an entropy-regularised variational objective is minimised. This increased flexibility introduces a computational challenge, as one loses access to an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-17 Clémentine Chazal , Heishiro Kanagawa , Zheyang Shen , Anna Korba , Chris. J. Oates

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Drawing from the theory of stochastic differential equations, we introduce a novel sampling method for known distributions and a new algorithm for diffusion generative models with unknown distributions. Our approach is inspired by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-12 Xicheng Zhang

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) is a kernel-based particle method for sampling from a target distribution, e.g., in generative modeling and Bayesian inference. SVGD does not require estimating the gradient of the log-density,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-10 Viktor Stein , Wuchen Li

From Physics and Biology to Seismology and Economics, the behaviour of countless systems is determined by impactful yet unlikely transitions between metastable states known as \emph{rare events}, the study of which is essential for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Solomon Asghar , Qing-Xiang Pei , Giorgio Volpe , Ran Ni

\noindent Randomized nomination sampling (RNS) is a rank-based sampling technique which has been shown to be effective in several nonparametric studies involving environmental and ecological applications. In this paper, we investigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-18 Mohammad Nourmohammadi , Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Brad Johnson

The density ratio of two probability distributions is one of the fundamental tools in mathematical and computational statistics and machine learning, and it has a variety of known applications. Therefore, density ratio estimation from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-28 Masanari Kimura , Howard Bondell

We present a local and transferable machine learning approach capable of predicting the real-space density response of both molecules and periodic systems to external homogeneous electric fields. The new method, SALTER, builds on the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Alan M Lewis , Paolo Lazzaroni , Mariana Rossi

Many machine learning problems can be seen as approximating a \textit{target} distribution using a \textit{particle} distribution by minimizing their statistical discrepancy. Wasserstein Gradient Flow can move particles along a path that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Song Liu , Jiahao Yu , Jack Simons , Mingxuan Yi , Mark Beaumont

We propose two novel samplers to generate high-quality samples from a given (un-normalized) probability density. Motivated by the success of generative adversarial networks, we construct our samplers using deep neural networks that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-10 Tianyang Hu , Zixiang Chen , Hanxi Sun , Jincheng Bai , Mao Ye , Guang Cheng

Network representation learning (NRL) technique has been successfully adopted in various data mining and machine learning applications. Random walk based NRL is one popular paradigm, which uses a set of random walks to capture the network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Xingyu Yao , Yingxia Shao , Bin Cui , Lei Chen

We consider the problem of non-parametric density estimation of a random environment from the observation of a single trajectory of a random walk in this environment. We first construct a density estimator using the beta-moments. We then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Antoine Havet , Matthieu Lerasle , Éric Moulines