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Despite the growing availability of sensing and data in general, we remain unable to fully characterise many in-service engineering systems and structures from a purely data-driven approach. The vast data and resources available to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Elizabeth J Cross , Timothy J Rogers , Daniel J Pitchforth , Samuel J Gibson , Matthew R Jones

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

Studying the effects of air-pollution on health is a key area in environmental epidemiology. An accurate estimation of air-pollution effects requires spatio-temporally resolved datasets of air-pollution, especially, Fine Particulate Matter…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Ron Sarafian , Itai Kloog , Allan C. Just , Johnathan D. Rosenblatt

Scalable spatial GPs for massive datasets can be built via sparse Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) where a small number of directed edges is sufficient to flexibly characterize spatial dependence. The DAG can be used to devise fast algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Michele Peruzzi , Sudipto Banerjee , David B. Dunson , Andrew O. Finley

Spatiotemporal datasets, which consist of spatially-referenced time series, are ubiquitous in diverse applications, such as air pollution monitoring, disease tracking, and cloud-demand forecasting. As the scale of modern datasets increases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Feras Saad , Jacob Burnim , Colin Carroll , Brian Patton , Urs Köster , Rif A. Saurous , Matthew Hoffman

Spatial-temporal forecasting systems play a crucial role in addressing numerous real-world challenges. In this paper, we investigate the potential of addressing spatial-temporal forecasting problems using general time series forecasting…

Graph Neural Networks have gained huge interest in the past few years. These powerful algorithms expanded deep learning models to non-Euclidean space and were able to achieve state of art performance in various applications including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Zahraa Al Sahili , Mariette Awad

Gaussian random fields with Mat\'ern covariance functions are popular models in spatial statistics and machine learning. In this work, we develop a spatio-temporal extension of the Gaussian Mat\'ern fields formulated as solutions to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-06 Finn Lindgren , Haakon Bakka , David Bolin , Elias Krainski , Håvard Rue

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

The location, timing, and abundance of gene expression (both mRNA and proteins) within a tissue define the molecular mechanisms of cell functions. Recent technology breakthroughs in spatial molecular profiling, including imaging-based…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-10 Qiwei Li , Minzhe Zhang , Yang Xie , Guanghua Xiao

The last two decades have seen a major expansion in the availability, size, and precision of time-domain datasets in astronomy. Owing to their unique combination of flexibility, mathematical simplicity and comparative robustness, Gaussian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-11 Suzanne Aigrain , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible, probabilistic, nonparametric models widely used in fields such as spatial statistics and machine learning. A drawback of Gaussian processes is their computational cost, with $O(N^3)$ time and $O(N^2)$…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-20 Filippo Rambelli , Fabio Sigrist

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

This paper introduces an online approach for identifying time-varying subspaces defined by linear dynamical systems. The approach of representing linear systems by non-parametric subspace models has received significant interest in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 András Sasfi , Alberto Padoan , Ivan Markovsky , Florian Dörfler

Multivariate Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a powerful probabilistic framework to represent complex interdependent phenomena. They pose, however, significant computational challenges in high-dimensional settings, which frequently arise in…

State-space models provide an important body of techniques for analyzing time-series, but their use requires estimating unobserved states. The optimal estimate of the state is its conditional expectation given the observation histories, and…

Spatial prediction is commonly achieved under the assumption of a Gaussian random field (GRF) by obtaining maximum likelihood estimates of parameters, and then using the kriging equations to arrive at predicted values. For massive datasets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-20 Karl T. Pazdernik , Ranjan Maitra

Approximation of scattered data is often a task in many engineering problems. The Radial Basis Function (RBF) approximation is appropriate for big scattered datasets in $n-$dimensional space. It is a non-separable approximation, as it is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-06-22 Zuzana Majdisova , Vaclav Skala

In the study "Spatio-temporal Gaussian process models for extended and group object tracking with irregular shapes" (IEEE Trans. Veh. Tech., vol. 68, no. 3, pp. 2137-2151, Mar. 2019), the extended object tracking problem was tackled by an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-20 Murat Kumru , Emre Özkan