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Many model selection algorithms produce a path of fits specifying a sequence of increasingly complex models. Given such a sequence and the data used to produce them, we consider the problem of choosing the least complex model that is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-09 William Fithian , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani , Ryan Tibshirani

Improved procedures, in terms of smaller missed discovery rates (MDR), for performing multiple hypotheses testing with weak and strong control of the family-wise error rate (FWER) or the false discovery rate (FDR) are developed and studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Edsel A. Peña , Joshua D. Habiger , Wensong Wu

False discovery rates (FDR) are an essential component of statistical inference, representing the propensity for an observed result to be mistaken. FDR estimates should accompany observed results to help the user contextualize the relevance…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Megan Hollister Murray , Jeffrey D. Blume

Multiple comparison procedures that control a family-wise error rate or false discovery rate provide an achieved error rate as the adjusted p-value for each hypothesis tested. However, since such p-values are not probabilities that the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-03 David R. Bickel

Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) have become increasingly popular and are used for a variety of interventions and outcomes, often chosen for their feasibility advantages. SW-CRTs must account for time trends in the outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer , Victor De Gruttola , Marc Lipsitch

Testing for differences in features between clusters in various applications often leads to inflated false positives when practitioners use the same dataset to identify clusters and then test features, an issue commonly known as ``double…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Lijun Wang , Yingxin Lin , Hongyu Zhao

In modern multiple hypothesis testing, the availability of covariate information alongside the primary test statistics has motivated the development of more powerful and adaptive inference methods. However, most existing approaches rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Taehyoung Kim , Seohwa Hwang , Junyong Park

This paper introduces novel weighted conformal p-values and methods for model-free selective inference. The problem is as follows: given test units with covariates $X$ and missing responses $Y$, how do we select units for which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Ying Jin , Emmanuel J. Candès

We explicitly define the notions of (bona fide, approximate or asymptotic) compound p-values and e-values, which have been implicitly presented and used in the recent multiple testing literature. While it is known that the e-BH procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Obtaining high-quality labels for large datasets is expensive, requiring massive annotations from human experts. While AI models offer a cost-effective alternative by predicting labels, their label quality is compromised by the unavoidable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Huipeng Huang , Wenbo Liao , Huajun Xi , Hao Zeng , Mengchen Zhao , Hongxin Wei

Refining one's hypotheses in the light of data is a common scientific practice; however, the dependency on the data introduces selection bias and can lead to specious statistical analysis. An approach for addressing this is via conditioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jen Ning Lim , Makoto Yamada , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yoshikazu Terada , Shigeyuki Matsui , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a critical challenge in large-scale data analysis, particularly in the presence of outliers. A common practice involves imposing a Student-$t$ distribution to eliminate the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yoshiko Hayashi

In recent years we have been able to gather large amounts of genomic data at a fast rate, creating situations where the number of variables greatly exceeds the number of observations. In these situations, most models that can handle a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Andrea Bratsberg , Abhik Ghosh , Magne Thoresen

The traditional approaches to false discovery rate (FDR) control in multiple hypothesis testing are usually based on the null distribution of a test statistic. However, all types of null distributions, including the theoretical,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Kun He , Mengjie Li , Yan Fu , Fuzhou Gong , Xiaoming Sun

Randomization tests are a popular method for testing causal effects in clinical trials with finite-sample validity. In the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects, it is often of interest to select a subgroup that benefits from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Zijun Gao

The recently proposed fixed-X knockoff is a powerful variable selection procedure that controls the false discovery rate (FDR) in any finite-sample setting, yet its theoretical insights are difficult to show beyond Gaussian linear models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Han Su , Panxu Yuan , Qingyang Sun , Mengxi Yi , Gaorong Li

False discovery rate (FDR) is a cornerstone of modern multiple testing. However, it often fails to guarantee the reliability of "marginal" discoveries that lie at the boundary of the rejection set, which are often crucial in high-precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yifan Zhang , Wentao Zhang , Changliang Zou , Haojie Ren

Identifying covariates that modify treatment effects is a central problem in causal inference. Yet existing data-adaptive procedures do not provide finite-sample control over the expected number of false discoveries, risking spurious…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Omar Melikechi

The False Discovery Rate (FDR) paradigm aims to attain certain control on Type I errors with relatively high power for multiple hypothesis testing. The Benjamini--Hochberg (BH) procedure is a well-known FDR controlling procedure. Under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Zhiyi Chi

This paper develops a conditional independence (CI) test from a conditional density ratio (CDR) for weakly dependent data. The main contribution is presenting a closed-form expression for the estimated conditional density ratio function…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Chunrong Ai , Zixuan Xu , Zheng Zhang