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In phase I dose escalation studies for dual-agent combinations, at least one drug often has an established monotherapy dose. Consequently, substantial prior clinical safety data often exist for one or more monotherapies, allowing the study…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Yuxuan Chen , Haiming Zhou , Keiko Nakajima , Philip He

The keyboard design is a novel phase I dose-finding method that is simple and has good operating characteristics. This paper studies theoretical properties of the keyboard design, including the optimality of its decision rules, coherence in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Haitao Pan , Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

In developing products for rare diseases, statistical challenges arise due to the limited number of patients available for participation in drug trials and other clinical research. Bayesian adaptive clinical trial designs offer the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-19 Xiao Wu , Yi Xu , Bradley P. Carlin

Phase 1-2 designs provide a methodological advance over phase 1 designs for dose finding by using both clinical response and toxicity. A phase 1-2 trial still may fail to select a truly optimal dose. because early response is not a perfect…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-03 Cheng-Han Yang , Peter F. Thall , Ruitao Lin

The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) launched Project Optimus and issued guidance to reform dose-finding and selection trials, shifting the paradigm from identifying the maximum tolerable dose (MTD) to determining the optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Kai Chen , Yixuan Zhao , Kentaro Takeda , Ying Yuan

The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

Cohort-based enrollment can slow down dose-finding trials since the outcomes of the previous cohort must be fully evaluated before the next cohort can be enrolled. This results in frequent suspension of patient enrollment. The issue is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Tianjian Zhou , Wentian Guo , Yuan Ji

Background: Phase I dose-finding trials increasingly encounter delayed-onset toxicities, especially with immunotherapies and targeted agents. The time-to-event continual reassessment method (TITE-CRM) handles incomplete follow-up using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Robert Amevor , Emmanuel Kubuafor , Dennis Baidoo

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

Biomarker-guided designs are increasingly used to evaluate personalized treatments based on patients' biomarker status in Phase II and III clinical trials. With adaptive enrichment, these designs can improve the efficiency of evaluating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Kaiyuan Hua , Hwanhee Hong , Xiaofei Wang

We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

We study the problem of finding the optimal dosage in early stage clinical trials through the multi-armed bandit lens. We advocate the use of the Thompson Sampling principle, a flexible algorithm that can accommodate different types of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-09 Maryam Aziz , Emilie Kaufmann , Marie-Karelle Riviere

We examine nonparametric dose-finding designs that use toxicity estimates based on all available data at each dose allocation decision. We prove that one such design family, called here "interval design", converges almost surely to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-22 Assaf P. Oron , David Azriel , Peter D. Hoff

In this article, we propose a phase I-II design in two stages for the combination of molecularly targeted therapies. The design is motivated by a published case study that combines a MEK and a PIK3CA inhibitors; a setting in which higher…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-21 José L. Jiménez , Mourad Tighiouart

An accurately identified maximum tolerated dose (MTD) serves as the cornerstone of successful subsequent phases in oncology drug development. Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a popular and versatile model-based dose-finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Hongtao Zhang , Alan Y Chiang , Jixian Wang

Domain-aware machine learning (ML) models have been increasingly adopted for accelerating small molecule therapeutic design in the recent years. These models have been enabled by significant advancement in state-of-the-art artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Rajendra P. Joshi , Neeraj Kumar

There has been an increasing interest in using interval-based Bayesian designs for dose finding, one of which is the modified toxicity probability interval (mTPI) method. We show that the decision rules in mTPI correspond to an optimal rule…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Wentian Guo , Sue-Jane Wang , Shengjie Yang , Suiheng Lin , Yuan Ji

Phase I dose-finding trials in oncology seek to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a drug under a specific schedule. Evaluating drug-schedules aims at improving treatment safety while maintaining efficacy. However, while we can…

We propose a new integrated phase I/II trial design to identify the most efficacious dose combination that also satisfies certain safety requirements for drug-combination trials. We first take a Bayesian copula-type model for dose finding…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-09 Ying Yuan , Guosheng Yin

The landscape of dose-finding designs for phase I clinical trials is rapidly shifting in the recent years, noticeably marked by the emergence of interval-based designs. We categorize them as the iDesigns and the IB-Designs. The iDesigns are…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-15 Yuan Ji , Shengjie Yang