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Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

To support efficient, balanced news consumption, merging articles from diverse sources into one, potentially through crowdsourcing, could alleviate some hurdles. However, the merging process could also impact annotators' attitudes towards…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Md Momen Bhuiyan , Sang Won Lee , Nitesh Goyal , Tanushree Mitra

The bivariate Poisson distribution is commonly used to model bivariate count data. In this paper we study a goodness-of-fit test for this distribution. We also provide a review of the existing tests for the bivariate Poisson distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Francisco Novoa-Muñoz

We consider the problem of evaluating the performance of a decision policy using past observational data. The outcome of a policy is measured in terms of a loss (aka. disutility or negative reward) and the main problem is making valid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Sofia Ek , Dave Zachariah , Fredrik D. Johansson , Petre Stoica

Given samples from an unknown distribution $p$, is it possible to distinguish whether $p$ belongs to some class of distributions $\mathcal{C}$ versus $p$ being far from every distribution in $\mathcal{C}$? This fundamental question has…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-12-09 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis , Gautam Kamath

Quantifying the similarity between datasets has widespread applications in statistics and machine learning. The performance of a predictive model on novel datasets, referred to as generalizability, depends on how similar the training and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Marieke Stolte , Franziska Kappenberg , Jörg Rahnenführer , Andrea Bommert

The problem of the estimation of relevance to a set of histograms generated by samples of a discrete time process is discussed on the base of the variational principles proposed in the previous paper [1]. Some conditions for dimension…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-28 M. A. Antonets

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points -- locations where the distribution abruptly changes -- in a data sequence. A new approach, based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing the similarity between observations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-18 Hao Chen , Nancy Zhang

Branching and weak probabilistic bisimilarities are two well-known notions capturing behavioral equivalence between nondeterministic probabilistic systems. For probabilistic systems, divergence is of major concern. Recently several…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Hao Wu , Yuxi Fu , Huan Long , Xian Xu , Wenbo Zhang

Simulation-based inference plays a major role in modern statistics, and often employs either reallocating (as in a randomization test) or resampling (as in bootstrapping). Reallocating mimics random allocation to treatment groups, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Kari Lock Morgan

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

The probability of false discovery proportion (FDP) exceeding $\gamma\in[0,1)$, defined as $\gamma$-FDP, has received much attention as a measure of false discoveries in multiple testing. Although this measure has received acceptance due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Wenge Guo , Li He , Sanat K. Sarkar

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

In clinical trials the comparison of two different populations is a frequently addressed problem. Non-linear (parametric) regression models are commonly used to describe the relationship between covariates as the dose and a response…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Kathrin Möllenhoff , Frank Bretz , Holger Dette

In this paper, we propose a general method for testing composite hypotheses. Our idea is to use confidence limits to define stopping and decision rules. The requirements of operating characteristic function can be satisfied by adjusting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Xinjia Chen

Power-law distributions occur in wide variety of physical, biological, and social phenomena. In this paper, we propose a statistical hypothesis test based on the log-likelihood ratio to assess whether two samples of discrete data are drawn…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-03 Alessandro Bessi

As input data distributions evolve, the predictive performance of machine learning models tends to deteriorate. In practice, new input data tend to come without target labels. Then, state-of-the-art techniques model input data distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Carlos Mougan , Klaus Broelemann , David Masip , Gjergji Kasneci , Thanassis Thiropanis , Steffen Staab

With the rise of increasingly powerful and user-facing NLP systems, there is growing interest in assessing whether they have a good representation of uncertainty by evaluating the quality of their predictive distribution over outcomes. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Joris Baan , Raquel Fernández , Barbara Plank , Wilker Aziz

Statistical techniques are used in all branches of science to determine the feasibility of quantitative hypotheses. One of the most basic applications of statistical techniques in comparative analysis is the test of equality of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo
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