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Related papers: The Rescaled Polya Urn and the Wright-Fisher proce…

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Motivated by recent studies of big samples, this work aims at constructing a parametric model which is characterized by the following features: (i) a "local" reinforcement, i.e. a reinforcement mechanism mainly based on the last…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi

We introduce the Generalized Rescaled Polya (GRP) urn, that provides a generative model for a chi-squared test of goodness of fit for the long-term probabilities of clustered data, with independence between clusters and correlation, due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi

Sufficient conditions are developed for a class of generalized Polya urn schemes ensuring exchangeability. The extended class includes the Blackwell-MacQueen Polya urn and the urn schemes for the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hemant Ishwaran , Mahmoud Zarepour

A number of discrete time, finite population size models in genetics describing the dynamics of allele frequencies are known to converge (subject to suitable scaling) to a diffusion process in the infinite population limit, termed the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spano

This paper develops an analytic theory for the study of some Polya urns with random rules. The idea is to extend the isomorphism theorem in Flajolet et al. (2006), which connects deterministic balanced urns to a differential system for the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Basile Morcrette , Hosam M. Mahmoud

Coupled Wright-Fisher diffusions have been recently introduced to model the temporal evolution of finitely-many allele frequencies at several loci. These are vectors of multidimensional diffusions whose dynamics are weakly coupled among…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Chiara Boetti , Matteo Ruggiero

Diffusion theory is a central tool of modern population genetics, yielding simple expressions for fixation probabilities and other quantities that are not easily derived from the underlying Wright-Fisher model. Unfortunately, the textbook…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-19 Camila Bräutigam , Matteo Smerlak

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright-Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile

Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Wioletta M. Ruszel , Debleena Thacker

A generalised one-dimensional Fisher-Wright diffusion process with mutations is considered. This is a well-known model in population genetics. An exponential recurrence is established for the process, which also implies an exponential rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Roman Sineokiy , Alexander Veretennikov

We propose an approach to analyze the asymptotic behavior of P\'olya urns based on the contraction method. For this, a new combinatorial discrete time embedding of the evolution of the urn into random rooted trees is developed. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

The increasing availability of population-level allele frequency data across one or more related populations necessitates the development of methods that can efficiently estimate population genetics parameters, such as the strength of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-09 Jeffrey J. Gory , Radu Herbei , Laura S. Kubatko

The Moran discrete process and the Wright-Fisher modelare the most popular models in population genetics. It is common tounderstand the dynamics of these models to use an approximating diffusionprocess, called Wright-Fisher diffusion. Here,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Gorgui Gackou , A Guillin , Arnaud Personne

This is a technical note which extends the results of Kosygina, Mountford and Peterson (Ann. Probab., 51(5):1684-1728, 2023, Section 4) about generalized P\'olya's urns from a specific weight function $w(n) = (n+1)^{-\alpha}$ to a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Elena Kosygina , Laure Marêché , Thomas Mountford , Jonathon Peterson

Sanov's Theorem and the Conditional Limit Theorem (CoLT) are established for a multicolor Polya Eggenberger urn sampling scheme, giving the Polya divergence and the Polya extension to the Maximum Relative Entropy (MaxEnt) method. Polya…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marian Grendar , Robert K. Niven

Recombination is a fundamental evolutionary force, but it is difficult to quantify because the effect of a recombination event on patterns of variation in a sample of genetic data can be hard to discern. Estimators for the recombination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-05 Robert C. Griffiths , Paul A. Jenkins

One-dimensional Fisher-Wright diffusion process on the interval $(0,1)$ with mutations is considered. This is a widely known model in population genetics. The goal of the paper is an exponential recurrence of the process, which also implies…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Roman Sineokiy , Alexander Veretennikov

Wright-Fisher diffusions describe the evolution of the type composition of an infinite haploid population with two types (say type $0$ and type $1$) subject to neutral reproductions, and possibly selection and mutations. In the present…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Grégoire Véchambre

The models surveyed include generalized P\'{o}lya urns, reinforced random walks, interacting urn models, and continuous reinforced processes. Emphasis is on methods and results, with sketches provided of some proofs. Applications are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

This paper introduces and analyzes a particular class of Polya urns: balls are of two colors, can only be added (the urns are said to be additive) and at every step the same constant number of balls is added, thus only the color…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-03-26 Basile Morcrette
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