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We describe a class of algorithms for evaluating posterior moments of certain Bayesian linear regression models with a normal likelihood and a normal prior on the regression coefficients. The proposed methods can be used for hierarchical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-08 Philip Greengard , Jeremy Hoskins , Charles C. Margossian , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

In this work we present a spatial-temporal convolutional neural network for predicting future COVID-19 related symptoms severity among a population, per region, given its past reported symptoms. This can help approximate the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Itamar Ben Ari , Amitai Armon

This paper studies if and to which extent COVID-19 epidemics can be controlled by authorities taking decisions on public health measures on the basis of daily reports of swab test results, active cases and total cases. A suitably simplified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Francesco Casella

Understanding the joint impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 development is important for making public health decisions that control the pandemic. Recently, we created a method in forecasting the daily…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Xiunan Wang , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi , Kyeongah Nah , Mark Lewis

Clinical measurements, such as body temperature, are often collected over time to monitor an individual's underlying health condition. These measurements exhibit complex temporal dynamics, necessitating sophisticated statistical models to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Xiaoran Ma , Wensheng Guo , Peter Kotanko , Yuedong Wang

This paper explores how well deep learning models trained on chest CT images can diagnose COVID-19 infected people in a fast and automated process. To this end, we adopt advanced deep network architectures and propose a transfer learning…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-19 Hammam Alshazly , Christoph Linse , Erhardt Barth , Thomas Martinetz

BACKGROUND An alternative to epidemiological models for transmission dynamics of Covid-19 in China, we propose the artificial intelligence (AI)-inspired methods for real-time forecasting of Covid-19 to estimate the size, lengths and ending…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-03 Zixin Hu , Qiyang Ge , Shudi Li , Li Jin , Momiao Xiong

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

Having accurate and timely data on confirmed active COVID-19 cases is challenging, since it depends on testing capacity and the availability of an appropriate infrastructure to perform tests and aggregate their results. In this paper, we…

We apply topological data analysis, specifically the Mapper algorithm, to the U.S. COVID-19 data. The resulting Mapper graphs provide visualizations of the pandemic that are more complete than those supplied by other, more standard methods.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Yiran Chen , Ismar Volic

More than ever COVID-19 is putting pressure on health systems all around the world, especially in Brazil. In this study we propose an analytical approach based on statistics and machine learning that uses lab exam data coming from patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Vitor Bezzan , Cleber D. Rocco

We propose a deterministic SAIVRD model and a stochastic SARV model of the epidemic COVID-19 involving asymptomatic infections and vaccinations to conduct data forecasts using time-dependent parameters. The forecast by our deterministic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-28 Bo-Sheng Chen , Zong-Ying Wu , Yen-Jia Chen , Jann-Long Chern

We propose a mathematical model based on probability theory to optimize COVID-19 testing by a multi-step batch testing approach with variable batch sizes. This model and simulation tool dramatically increase the efficiency and efficacy of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-11 Hongshik Ahn , Haoran Jiang , Xiaolin Li

Background. Forecasting the time of forthcoming pandemic reduces the impact of diseases by taking precautionary steps such as public health messaging and raising the consciousness of doctors. With the continuous and rapid increase in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Muhammad Naeem , Jian Yu , Muhammad Aamir , Sajjad Ahmad Khan , Olayinka Adeleye , Zardad Khan

In this work, we developed a deep learning model-based approach to forecast the spreading trend of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States. We implemented the designed model using the United States to confirm cases and state demographic data and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Tong Yang , Long Sha , Justin Li , Pengyu Hong

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has overwhelmed healthcare systems, emphasizing the need for AI-driven tools to assist in rapid and accurate patient prognosis. Chest X-ray imaging is a widely available diagnostic tool, but existing…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Alfred Simbun , Suresh Kumar

COVID-19 has resulted in a global health crisis that may become even more acute over the upcoming months. One of the main reasons behind the current rapid growth of COVID-19 in the U.S. population is the limited availability of testing kits…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Krishna R. Narayanan , Anoosheh Heidarzadeh , Ramanan Laxminarayan

The rapid advancement of technology in online communication via social media platforms has led to a prolific rise in the spread of misinformation and fake news. Fake news is especially rampant in the current COVID-19 pandemic, leading to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Rutvik Vijjali , Prathyush Potluri , Siddharth Kumar , Sundeep Teki

The outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an ongoing pandemic affecting over 200 countries and regions. Inference about the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 can provide important insights into the speed of disease spread and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

The COVID-19 pandemic brought many challenges, from hospital-occupation management to lock-down mental-health repercussions such as anxiety or depression. In this work, we present a solution for the later problem by developing a Twitter…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Santiago Cortes , Juan Muñoz , David Betancur , Mauricio Toro