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We introduce random spatial forests, a method of bagging regression trees allowing for spatial correlation. Our main contribution is the development of a computationally efficient tree building algorithm which selects each split of the tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Travis Hee Wai , Michael T. Young , Adam A. Szpiro

The second-order, small-scale dependence structure of a stochastic process defined in the space-time domain is key to prediction (or kriging). While great efforts have been dedicated to developing models for cases in which the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Jun Tang , Dale Zimmerman

In spatial statistics, a common method for prediction over a Gaussian random field (GRF) is maximum likelihood estimation combined with kriging. For massive data sets, kriging is computationally intensive, both in terms of CPU time and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-28 Karl T. Pazdernik , Ranjan Maitra , Douglas Nychka , Stephen Sain

This paper describes a methodology for automated univariate time series forecasting using regression trees and their ensembles: bagging and random forests. The key aspects that are addressed are: the use of an autoregressive approach and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Francisco Martínez , María P. Frías

Machine learning and geostatistics are two fundamentally different frameworks for predicting and spatially mapping soil properties. Geostatistics leverages the spatial structure of soil properties, while machine learning captures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jonas Schmidinger , Viacheslav Barkov , Sebastian Vogel , Martin Atzmueller , Gerard B M Heuvelink

Kriging and Gaussian Process Regression are statistical methods that allow predicting the outcome of a random process or a random field by using a sample of correlated observations. In other words, the random process or random field is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Marius Marinescu

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert

Kriging based on Gaussian random fields is widely used in reconstructing unknown functions. The kriging method has pointwise predictive distributions which are computationally simple. However, in many applications one would like to predict…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Wenjia Wang , Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

A kriging-random forest hybrid model is developed for real-time ground property prediction ahead of the earth pressure balanced shield by integrating Kriging extrapolation and random forest, which can guide shield operating parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Ziheng Geng , Chao Zhang , Yuhao Ren , Minxiang Zhu , Renpeng Chen , Hongzhan Cheng

Generalized linear and additive models are very efficient regression tools but the selection of relevant terms becomes difficult if higher order interactions are needed. In contrast, tree-based methods also known as recursive partitioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

Several studies have shown that combining machine learning models in an appropriate way will introduce improvements in the individual predictions made by the base models. The key to make well-performing ensemble model is in the diversity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu

Large spatial datasets are becoming ubiquitous in environmental sciences with the explosion in the amount of data produced by sensors that monitor and measure the Earth system. Consequently, the geostatistical analysis of these data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-06 Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis

This papers proposes a generic, high-level methodology for generating forecast combinations that would deliver the optimal linearly combined forecast in terms of the mean-squared forecast error if one had access to two population…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Elliot Beck , Damian Kozbur , Michael Wolf

Kriging is a widely employed technique, in particular for computer experiments, in machine learning or in geostatistics. An important challenge for Kriging is the computational burden when the data set is large. This article focuses on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Didier Rullière , Clément Chevalier

Random forest regression is a powerful non-parametric method that adapts to local data characteristics through data-driven partitioning, making it effective across diverse application domains. However, the piecewise constant nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ziyi Liu , Phuc Luong , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

Kriging is an established methodology for predicting spatial data in geostatistics. Current kriging techniques can handle linear dependencies on spatially referenced covariates. Although splines have shown promise in capturing nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Bryan Sumalinab , Oswaldo Gressani , Niel Hens , Christel Faes

Spatial prediction is commonly achieved under the assumption of a Gaussian random field (GRF) by obtaining maximum likelihood estimates of parameters, and then using the kriging equations to arrive at predicted values. For massive datasets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-20 Karl T. Pazdernik , Ranjan Maitra

Accurate spatial interpolation of the air quality index (AQI), computed from concentrations of multiple air pollutants, is essential for regulatory decision-making, yet AQI fields are inherently non-Gaussian and often exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Junyu Chen , Pratik Nag , Huixia Judy-Wang , Ying Sun

In spatial statistics, a common objective is to predict values of a spatial process at unobserved locations by exploiting spatial dependence. Kriging provides the best linear unbiased predictor using covariance functions and is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-25 Wanfang Chen , Yuxiao Li , Brian J Reich , Ying Sun
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