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Machine and deep learning survival models demonstrate similar or even improved time-to-event prediction capabilities compared to classical statistical learning methods yet are too complex to be interpreted by humans. Several model-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Mateusz Krzyziński , Mikołaj Spytek , Hubert Baniecki , Przemysław Biecek

Survival analysis deals with modeling the time until an event occurs, and accurate probability estimates are crucial for decision-making, particularly in the competing-risks setting where multiple events are possible. While recent work has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Julie Alberge , Tristan Haugomat , Gaël Varoquaux , Judith Abécassis

Comparing the survival times among two groups is a common problem in time-to-event analysis, for example if one would like to understand whether one medical treatment is superior to another. In the standard survival analysis setting, there…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Dennis Dobler , Eni Musta

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Guillaume Ausset , Tom Ciffreo , Francois Portier , Stephan Clémençon , Timothée Papin

Many clinical studies require the follow-up of patients over time. This is challenging: apart from frequently observed drop-out, there are often also organizational and financial challenges, which can lead to reduced data collection and, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Fateme Nateghi Haredasht , Celine Vens

Causal inference across multiple data sources offers a promising avenue to enhance the generalizability and replicability of scientific findings. However, data integration methods for time-to-event outcomes, common in biomedical research,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

Survival analysis/time-to-event models are extremely useful as they can help companies predict when a customer will buy a product, churn or default on a loan, and therefore help them improve their ROI. In this paper, we introduce a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-18 Stephane Fotso

Survival analysis, or time-to-event analysis, is an important and widespread problem in healthcare research. Medical research has traditionally relied on Cox models for survival analysis, due to their simplicity and interpretability. Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mike Van Ness , Tomas Bosschieter , Natasha Din , Andrew Ambrosy , Alexander Sandhu , Madeleine Udell

Competing risks occur in survival analysis when multiple causes of death are present. They play a prominent role in several domains extending beyond biostatistics to encompass epidemiology, actuarial sciences, and reliability theory. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Claudio Del Sole , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

In the data-driven era, large-scale datasets are routinely collected and analyzed using machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) to inform decisions in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, employment, and criminal justice,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Drago Plecko

Accurate time-to-event prediction is integral to decision-making, informing medical guidelines, hiring decisions, and resource allocation. Survival analysis, the quantitative framework used to model time-to-event data, accounts for patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Vincent Jeanselme , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

In the context of survival analysis, data-driven neural network-based methods have been developed to model complex covariate effects. While these methods may provide better predictive performance than regression-based approaches, not all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jesse Islam , Maxime Turgeon , Robert Sladek , Sahir Bhatnagar

Survival analysis is essential for studying time-to-event outcomes and providing a dynamic understanding of the probability of an event occurring over time. Various survival analysis techniques, from traditional statistical models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Ziwen Wang , Jin Wee Lee , Tanujit Chakraborty , Yilin Ning , Mingxuan Liu , Feng Xie , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Nan Liu

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

Survival Analysis (SA) models the time until an event occurs, with applications in fields like medicine, defense, finance, and aerospace. Recent research indicates that Neural Networks (NNs) can effectively capture complex data patterns in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-08 Michael Potter , Stefano Maxenti , Michael Everett

In this work, we discuss what we refer to as reduction techniques for survival analysis, that is, techniques that "reduce" a survival task to a more common regression or classification task, without ignoring the specifics of survival data.…

In clinical trials with recurrent events, such as repeated hospitalizations terminating with death, it is important to consider the patient events overall history for a thorough assessment of treatment effects. The occurrence of fewer…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Alessandra Ragni , Torben Martinussen , Thomas Scheike

Survival analysis concerns the study of timeline data where the event of interest may remain unobserved (i.e., censored). Studies commonly record more than one type of event, but conventional survival techniques focus on a single event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hylke C. Donker , Harry J. M. Groen

We propose a neural-network based survival model (SurvSurf) specifically designed for direct and simultaneous probabilistic prediction of the first hitting time of sequential events from baseline. Unlike existing models, SurvSurf is…

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