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By their nature it is difficult to differentiate chaotic dynamical systems through measurement. In recent years, work has begun on using methods of Topological Data Analysis (TDA) to qualitatively type dynamical data by approximating the…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tobias Timofeyev , Christopher Potvin , Benjamin Jones , Kristin M. Kurianski , Miguel Lopez , Sunia Tanweer

This article studies identification and estimation for the network vector autoregressive model with nonstationary regressors. In particular, network dependence is characterized by a nonstochastic adjacency matrix. The information set…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Christis Katsouris

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

Temporal graph is an abstraction for modeling dynamic systems that consist of evolving interaction elements. In this paper, we aim to solve an important yet neglected problem -- how to learn information from high-order neighbors in temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Zehong Wang , Qi Li , Donghua Yu

We study the problem of learning mixtures of linear dynamical systems (MLDS) from input-output data. The mixture setting allows us to leverage observations from related dynamical systems to improve the estimation of individual models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-03 Maryann Rui , Munther Dahleh

Systems with long-range interactions often exhibit power-law distributions and can by described by the non-extensive statistical mechanics framework proposed by Tsallis. In this contribution we consider a simple model reproducing continuous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Julius Ruseckas

Identifying dynamical systems from experimental data is a notably difficult task. Prior knowledge generally helps, but the extent of this knowledge varies with the application, and customized models are often needed. Neural ordinary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-13 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Valery Morgenthaler , Sebastian Trimpe , Florent Di Meglio

We present a model for the time evolution of network architectures based on dynamical systems. We show that the evolution of the existence of a connection in a network can be described as a stochastic non-markovian telegraphic signal…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-10-11 Pablo Kaluza

Modern learning systems increasingly interact with data that evolve over time and depend on hidden internal state. We ask a basic question: when is such a dynamical system learnable from observations alone? This paper proposes a research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Elad Hazan , Shai Shalev Shwartz , Nathan Srebro

We present a data-driven model to reconstruct nonlinear dynamics from a very sparse times series data, which relies on the strength of the echo state network (ESN) in learning nonlinear representation of data. With an assumption of the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Kyongmin Yeo

We consider the problem of learning causal models from observational data generated by linear non-Gaussian acyclic causal models with latent variables. Without considering the effect of latent variables, one usually infers wrong causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Saber Salehkaleybar , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

Learning to remember over long timescales is fundamentally challenging for recurrent neural networks (RNNs). While much prior work has explored why RNNs struggle to learn long timescales and how to mitigate this, we still lack a clear…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-25 Blake Bordelon , Jordan Cotler , Cengiz Pehlevan , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth

We consider the following learning problem: Given sample pairs of input and output signals generated by an unknown nonlinear system (which is not assumed to be causal or time-invariant), we wish to find a continuous-time recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Joshua Hanson , Maxim Raginsky , Eduardo Sontag

The discovery of structure from time series data is a key problem in fields of study working with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the underlying dynamics to be discrete in time. Comparatively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Bellot , Kim Branson , Mihaela van der Schaar

Time-varying networks describe a wide array of systems whose constituents and interactions evolve over time. They are defined by an ordered stream of interactions between nodes, yet they are often represented in terms of a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-23 Bruno Ribeiro , Nicola Perra , Andrea Baronchelli

Temporal graph learning aims to generate high-quality representations for graph-based tasks with dynamic information, which has recently garnered increasing attention. In contrast to static graphs, temporal graphs are typically organized as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Meng Liu , Ke Liang , Yawei Zhao , Wenxuan Tu , Sihang Zhou , Xinbiao Gan , Xinwang Liu , Kunlun He

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

A plethora of networks is being collected in a growing number of fields, including disease transmission, international relations, social interactions, and others. As data streams continue to grow, the complexity associated with these highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-11 Daniele Durante , Nabanita Mukherjee , Rebecca C. Steorts

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Modeling dynamical systems is important in many disciplines, e.g., control, robotics, or neurotechnology. Commonly the state of these systems is not directly observed, but only available through noisy and potentially high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-29 Niklas Wahlström , Thomas B. Schön , Marc Peter Deisenroth