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Since the first case of COVID-19 disease in Wuhan in December 2019, there is a worldwide struggle to reduce the transmission of acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus SARS-CoV-2. Many countries worldwide decided to impose local lockdowns in…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-09 Daniela Dobrynin , Iryna Polishchuk , Boaz Pokroy

COVID-19 vaccines are highly efficacious at preventing symptomatic infection, severe disease, and death. Most of the evidence that COVID-19 vaccines also reduce transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is based on retrospective, observational studies.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-16 Marlena S. Bannick , Fei Gao , Elizabeth R. Brown , Holly E. Janes

Network scientists have proposed that infectious diseases involving person-to-person transmission may be effectively halted by targeting interventions at a minority of highly connected individuals. Can this strategy be effective in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-16 Gianluca Manzo , Arnout van de Rijt

In controlling transmission of COVID-19, the effectiveness of border quarantine strategies is a key concern for jurisdictions in which the local prevalence of disease and immunity is low. In settings like this such as China, Australia, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-28 Cameron Zachreson , Freya M. Shearer , David J. Price , Michael J. Lydeamore , Jodie McVernon , James McCaw , Nicholas Geard

A comprehensive retrospective analysis of public health interventions, such as large scale testing, quarantining, and contact tracing, can help identify mechanisms most effective in mitigating COVID-19. We investigate China based SARS-CoV-2…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Zhou Yang , Edward Dougherty , Chen Zhang , Zhenhe Pan , Fang Jin

An outbreak of the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-CoV-2 that began around mid-June 2021 in Sydney, Australia, quickly developed into a nation-wide epidemic. The ongoing epidemic is of major concern as the Delta variant is more infectious…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-11 Sheryl L. Chang , Oliver M. Cliff , Cameron Zachreson , Mikhail Prokopenko

Repeat asymptomatic testing in order to identify and quarantine infectious individuals has become a widely-used intervention to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission. In some workplaces, and in particular health and social care settings with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-18 Carl A Whitfield , University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group , Ian Hall

The COVID-19 outbreak is asynchronous in US counties. Mitigating the COVID-19 transmission requires not only the state and federal level order of protective measures such as social distancing and testing, but also public awareness of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Hanmo Li , Mengyang Gu

Background School closures and distance learning have been extensively applied to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Despite evidence of viral circulation in schools, the contribution of students and of in-person schooling to the transmission…

Superspreading complicates the study of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. I propose a model for aggregated case data that accounts for superspreading and improves statistical inference. In a Bayesian framework, the model is estimated on German data…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-10 Patrick W. Schmidt

The COVID-19 pandemic has given rise to numerous articles from different scientific fields (epidemiology, virology, immunology, airflow physics...) without any effort to link these different insights. In this review, we aim to establish…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-31 Florian Poydenot , Alice Lebreton , Jacques Haiech , Bruno Andreotti

In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

In this article, we propose a theory to explain the reduction in vaccine effectiveness (VE) against the Delta SARS-CoV-2 variant and decreasing VE over time reported in recent studies. Using a model illustration, we show that in-host viral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-09 Wan Yang , Jeffrey Shaman

Controlling the COVID-19 pandemic is an urgent global challenge. The rapid geographic spread of SARS-CoV-2 directly reflects the social structure. Before effective vaccines and treatments are widely available, we have to rely on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-11 Karina I Mazzitello , Yi Jiang , Constancio M Arizmendi

COVID-19 remains a challenging global threat with ongoing waves of infections and clinical disease which have resulted millions of deaths and an enormous strain on health systems worldwide. Effective vaccines have been developed for the…

Due to its high lethality amongst the elderly, the safety of nursing homes has been of central importance during the COVID-19 pandemic. With test procedures becoming available at scale, such as antigen or RT-LAMP tests, and increasing…

Widespread opinions and discussion exist regarding the efficiency of social distancing after crucial spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus during the actual Covid-19 pandemic. While Germany has released a federal law that prohibits any type of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-26 Franz-Josef Schmitt

Although previous infection and vaccination provide protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection, both reinfection and breakthrough infection are possible events whose occurrence would increase with time after first exposure to the antigen and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-07 Ariel Félix Gualtieri , Carolina de la Cal , Augusto Francisco Toma , Pedro Hecht

The question of how SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted remains surprisingly controversial today, especially with reference to airborne transmission. In fact, despite a large body of scientific evidence, health and regulatory authorities still…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-10-07 G. Buonanno , A. Robotto , E. Brizio , L. Morawska , A. Civra , F. Corino , D. Lembo , G. Ficco , L. Stabile

In February 2020 the first human infection with SARS-CoV-2 was reported in Germany. Since then the local public health offices have been responsible to monitor and react to the dynamics of the pandemic. One of their major tasks is to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-02 Sonja Jäckle , Elias Röger , Volker Dicken , Benjamin Geisler , Jakob Schumacher , Max Westphal
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