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Algorithmic trading relies on extracting meaningful signals from diverse financial data sources, including candlestick charts, order statistics on put and canceled orders, traded volume data, limit order books, and news flow. While deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov

This paper investigates real-time detection of spoofing activity in limit order books, focusing on cryptocurrency centralized exchanges. We first introduce novel order flow variables based on multi-scale Hawkes processes that account both…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Timothée Fabre , Damien Challet

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

This paper examines the role of algorithmic trading in modern financial markets. Additionally, order types, characteristics, and special features of algorithmic trading are described under the lens provided by the large development of high…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-26 Riccardo Cesari , Massimiliano Marzo , Paolo Zagaglia

In a financial market, for agents with long investment horizons or at times of severe market stress, it is often changes in the asset price that act as the trigger for transactions or shifts in investment position. This suggests the use of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 H. Lamba

We adopt Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms to design trading strategies for continuous futures contracts. Both discrete and continuous action spaces are considered and volatility scaling is incorporated to create reward functions which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the agent minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Gu Wang

We introduce a new model in order to describe the fluctuation of tick-by-tick financial time series. Our model, based on marked point process, allows us to incorporate in a unique process the duration of the transaction and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-21 Alexis Fauth , Ciprian A. Tudor

Hawkes process provides an effective statistical framework for analyzing the time-dependent interaction of neuronal spiking activities. Although utilized in many real applications, the classic Hawkes process is incapable of modelling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Feng Zhou , Yixuan Zhang , Jun Zhu

High-frequency trading (HFT) accounts for almost half of equity trading volume, yet it is not identified in public data. We develop novel data-driven measures of HFT activity that separate strategies that supply and demand liquidity. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 G. Ibikunle , B. Moews , D. Muravyev , K. Rzayev

We introduce a point process regression model that is applicable to price models and limit order book models. Hawkes type autoregression in the intensity process is generalized to a stochastic regression to covariate processes. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

Dealers make money by providing liquidity to clients but face flow uncertainty and thus price risk. They can efficiently skew their prices and wait for clients to mitigate risk (internalization), or trade with other dealers in the open…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Alexander Barzykin , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

In financial markets, liquidity is not constant over time but exhibits strong seasonal patterns. In this article we consider a limit order book model that allows for time-dependent, deterministic depth and resilience of the book and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-14 Antje Fruth , Torsten Schoeneborn , Mikhail Urusov

Flaws of a continuous limit order book mechanism raise the question of whether a continuous trading session and a periodic auction session would bring better efficiency. This paper wants to go further in designing a periodic auction when…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Thibaut Mastrolia , Tianrui Xu

In this paper we study the number of customers in infinite-server queues with a self-exciting (Hawkes) arrival process. Initially we assume that service requirements are exponentially distributed and that the Hawkes arrival process is of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-02 David Koops , Mayank Saxena , Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

Automated Market Makers (AMMs) are a central component of decentralized exchanges, yet their equilibrium foundations and microeconomic mechanisms remain incompletely understood. This paper develops a dynamic equilibrium framework for…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-10 Chengqi Zang , Zhenghui Wang , Weitong Zhang

Market making is one of the most important aspects of algorithmic trading, and it has been studied quite extensively from a theoretical point of view. The practical implementation of so-called "optimal strategies" however suffers from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-14 Xiaofei Lu , Frédéric Abergel

An extension of the Hawkes process, the Marked Hawkes process distinguishes itself by featuring variable jump size across each event, in contrast to the constant jump size observed in a Hawkes process without marks. While extensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

The bid-ask spread, which is defined by the difference between the best selling price and the best buying price in a Limit Order Book at a given time, is a crucial factor in the analysis of financial securities. In this study, we propose a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-07 Ruihua Ruan , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy