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This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

We explore the use of graph neural networks (GNNs) to model spatial processes in which there is no a priori graphical structure. Similar to finite element analysis, we assign nodes of a GNN to spatial locations and use a computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Ferran Alet , Adarsh K. Jeewajee , Maria Bauza , Alberto Rodriguez , Tomas Lozano-Perez , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

Increasingly high-stakes decisions are made using neural networks in order to make predictions. Specifically, meteorologists and hedge funds apply these techniques to time series data. When it comes to prediction, there are certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Levente Foldesi , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

This paper re-examines the problem of parameter estimation in Bayesian networks with missing values and hidden variables from the perspective of recent work in on-line learning [Kivinen & Warmuth, 1994]. We provide a unified framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Eric Bauer , Daphne Koller , Yoram Singer

This paper studies the problem of jointly estimating multiple network processes driven by a common unknown input, thus effectively generalizing the classical blind multi-channel identification problem to graphs. More precisely, we model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-01 Yu Zhu , Fernando J. Iglesias , Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra

Neural point estimators are neural networks that map data to parameter point estimates. They are fast, likelihood free and, due to their amortised nature, amenable to fast bootstrap-based uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we aim to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Raphaël Huser

We investigate the capabilities of neural inverse procedural modeling to infer high-quality procedural yarn models with fiber-level details from single images of depicted yarn samples. While directly inferring all parameters of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Elena Trunz , Jonathan Klein , Jan Müller , Lukas Bode , Ralf Sarlette , Michael Weinmann , Reinhard Klein

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

In this paper, we address the problem of simultaneous classification and estimation of hidden parameters in a sensor network with communications constraints. In particular, we consider a network of noisy sensors which measure a common…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2012-06-19 Fabio Fagnani , Sophie M. Fosson , Chiara Ravazzi

The firing dynamics of biological neurons in mathematical models is often determined by the model's parameters, representing the neurons' underlying properties. The parameter estimation problem seeks to recover those parameters of a single…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-05 Long Le , Yao Li

This project considers Capsule Networks, a recently introduced machine learning model that has shown promising results regarding generalization and preservation of spatial information with few parameters. The Capsule Network's inner routing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Gonçalo Faria

Whether stochastic or parametric, the Pareto/NBD model can only be utilized for an in-sample prediction rather than an out-of-sample prediction. This research thus provides a neural network based extension of the Pareto/NBD model to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-06 Shao-Ming Xie

Surface normal estimation from a single image is an important task in 3D scene understanding. In this paper, we address two limitations shared by the existing methods: the inability to estimate the aleatoric uncertainty and lack of detail…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Gwangbin Bae , Ignas Budvytis , Roberto Cipolla

Neural Networks (NNs) have been extensively used for a wide spectrum of real-world regression tasks, where the goal is to predict a numerical outcome such as revenue, effectiveness, or a quantitative result. In many such tasks, the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Xin Qiu , Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen

We consider a network of sensors deployed to sense a spatio-temporal field and estimate a parameter of interest. We are interested in the case where the temporal process sensed by each sensor can be modeled as a state-space process that is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2008-04-12 S. Sundhar Ram , V. V. Veeravalli , A. Nedic

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

In numerical modeling of the Earth System, many processes remain unknown or ill represented (let us quote sub-grid processes, the dependence to unknown latent variables or the non-inclusion of complex dynamics in numerical models) but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-19 Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Jérôme Sirven

Ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show systematic errors that require correction via post-processing. While there has been substantial progress in flexible neural network-based post-processing methods over the past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Moritz Feik , Sebastian Lerch , Jan Stühmer