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We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kei Kobayashi , Fumiyasu Komaki

We provide optimal lower and upper bounds for the augmented Kullback-Leibler divergence in terms of the augmented total variation distance between two probability measures defined on two Euclidean spaces having different dimensions. We call…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Michele Caprio

The concept of varentropy has been recently introduced as a dispersion index of the reliability of measure of information. In this paper, we introduce new measures of variability for two measures of uncertainty, the Kerridge inaccuracy…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Francesco Buono , Camilla Calì , Maria Longobardi

$\alpha$-posteriors and their variational approximations distort standard posterior inference by downweighting the likelihood and introducing variational approximation errors. We show that such distortions, if tuned appropriately, reduce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-20 Marco Avella Medina , José Luis Montiel Olea , Cynthia Rush , Amilcar Velez

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We study frequentist risk properties of predictive density estimators for mean mixtures of multivariate normal distributions, involving an unknown location parameter $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$, and which include multivariate skew normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Pankaj Bhagwat , Eric Marchand

This paper proposes a distributionally robust unit commitment approach for microgrids under net load and electricity market price uncertainty. The key thrust of the proposed approach is to leverage the Kullback-Leibler divergence to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

In this paper, we study the strong consistency of a bias reduced kernel density estimator and derive a strongly con- sistent Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) estimator. As application, we formulate a goodness-of-fit test and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Papa Ngom , Freedath Djibril Moussa , Jean de Dieu Nkurunziza

Normalizing flows can generate complex target distributions and thus show promise in many applications in Bayesian statistics as an alternative or complement to MCMC for sampling posteriors. Since no data set from the target posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-19 Marylou Gabrié , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We study the problem of discrete distribution estimation in KL divergence and provide concentration bounds for the Laplace estimator. We show that the deviation from mean scales as $\sqrt{k}/n$ when $n \ge k$, improving upon the best prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-14 Clément L. Canonne , Ziteng Sun , Ananda Theertha Suresh

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is not a proper distance metric and does not satisfy the triangle inequality, posing theoretical challenges in certain practical applications. Existing work has demonstrated that KL divergence between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Shiji Xiao , Yufeng Zhang , Chubo Liu , Yan Ding , Keqin Li , Kenli Li

The ability to identify reliably a positive or negative partial correlation between the expression levels of two genes is influenced by the number $p$ of genes, the number $n$ of analyzed samples, and the statistical properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-24 Maya Shevlyakova , Stephan Morgenthaler

We propose a methodology for modeling and comparing probability distributions within a Bayesian nonparametric framework. Building on dependent normalized random measures, we consider a prior distribution for a collection of discrete random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Mario Beraha , Jim E. Griffin

The performance of machine learning classification algorithms are evaluated by estimating metrics, often from the confusion matrix, using training data and cross-validation. However, these do not prove that the best possible performance has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 L. Crow , S. J. Watts

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of density functions with a product form on the domain $\triangle=\{( x_1, \ldots, x_d)\in \mathbb{R}^d, 0\leq x_1\leq \dots \leq x_d \leq 1\}$. Such densities appear in the random truncation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

We give an introduction to discrete functional analysis techniques for stationary and transient diffusion equations. We show how these techniques are used to establish the convergence of various numerical schemes without assuming…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-25 Jerome Droniou

Smooth Csisz\'ar $f$-divergences can be expressed as integrals over so-called hockey stick divergences. This motivates a natural quantum generalization in terms of quantum Hockey stick divergences, which we explore here. Using this recipe,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-08-27 Christoph Hirche , Marco Tomamichel

The maximum likelihood method is the best-known method for estimating the probabilities behind the data. However, the conventional method obtains the probability model closest to the empirical distribution, resulting in overfitting. Then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Akihisa Ichiki

We investigate the problem of minimizing Kullback-Leibler divergence between a linear model $Ax$ and a positive vector $b$ in different convex domains (positive orthant, $n$-dimensional box, probability simplex). Our focus is on the SMART…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Maren Raus , Yara Elshiaty , Stefania Petra
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