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State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

The complexity of the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm arises from the requirement of a likelihood evaluation for the full data set in each iteration. Payne and Mallick (2015) propose to speed up the algorithm by a delayed acceptance…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-23 Matias Quiroz , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Christopher Aicher , Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B. Fox

This work focuses on sampling from hidden Markov models (Cappe et al, 2005) whose observations have intractable density functions. We develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (Doucet et al, 2000 and Gordon et al, 1993) algorithm and a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-22 Adam Persing , Ajay Jasra

We develop a novel advanced Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that is capable of sampling from the posterior distribution of non-linear state space models for both the unobserved latent states and the unknown model parameters. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Gareth W. Peters , Geoff R. Hosack , Keith R. Hayes

In this paper we introduce a new sampling algorithm which has the potential to be adopted as a universal replacement to the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm. It is related to the slice sampler, and motivated by an algorithm which is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-19 Yanxin Li , Stephen G. Walker

Online data assimilation in time series models over a large spatial extent is an important problem in both geosciences and robotics. Such models are intrinsically high-dimensional, rendering traditional particle filter algorithms…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-31 Jameson Quinn

State space models (SSMs) are widely used to describe dynamic systems. However, when the likelihood of the observations is intractable, parameter inference for SSMs cannot be easily carried out using standard Markov chain Monte Carlo or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-21 Zhaoran Hou , Samuel W. K. Wong

Infinite Hidden Markov Models (iHMM's) are an attractive, nonparametric generalization of the classical Hidden Markov Model which can automatically infer the number of hidden states in the system. However, due to the infinite-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-10 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Shane Gu , Hong Ge , Zoubin Ghahramani

A Kernel Adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is introduced, for the purpose of sampling from a target distribution with strongly nonlinear support. The algorithm embeds the trajectory of the Markov chain into a reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-16 Dino Sejdinovic , Heiko Strathmann , Maria Lomeli Garcia , Christophe Andrieu , Arthur Gretton

We show that for any multiple-try Metropolis algorithm, one can always accept the proposal and evaluate the importance weight that is needed to correct for the bias without extra computational cost. This results in a general, convenient,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-03 Guanxun Li , Aaron Smith , Quan Zhou

Metropolis-Hastings (MH) is a foundational Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. In this paper, we ask whether it is possible to formulate and analyse MH in terms of categorical probability, using a recent involutive framework for…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-02 Rob Cornish , Andi Q. Wang

We consider Particle Gibbs (PG) as a tool for Bayesian analysis of non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. PG is a Monte Carlo (MC) approximation of the standard Gibbs procedure which uses sequential MC (SMC) importance sampling inside…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-18 Oliver Grothe , Tore Selland Kleppe , Roman Liesenfeld

Traditional methods for unsupervised learning of finite mixture models require to evaluate the likelihood of all components of the mixture. This becomes computationally prohibitive when the number of components is large, as it is, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Milan Papež , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

We propose a novel blocked version of the continuous-time bouncy particle sampler of [Bouchard-C\^ot\'e et al., 2018] which is applicable to any differentiable probability density. This alternative implementation is motivated by blocked…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-12 Jacob Vorstrup Goldman , Sumeetpal Sidhu Singh

Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$; Chopin et al., 2012) methods can be used to sample from the exact posterior distribution of intractable likelihood state space models. These methods are the SMC analogue to particle Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

This paper proposes a new sampling scheme based on Langevin dynamics that is applicable within pseudo-marginal and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We investigate this algorithm's theoretical properties under standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock , Paul Fearnhead

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

In recent times empirical likelihood has been widely applied under Bayesian framework. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are frequently employed to sample from the posterior distribution of the parameters of interest. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Teng Yin

Bayesian inference via standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is too computationally intensive to handle large datasets, since the cost per step usually scales like $\Theta(n)$ in the number of data points $n$. We propose the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Robert Cornish , Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet
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