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This work presents a hybrid and hierarchical deep learning model for mid-term load forecasting. The model combines exponential smoothing (ETS), advanced Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and ensembling. ETS extracts dynamically the main…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-02 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Slawek Smyl

Accurate climate forecasting is vital for Bangladesh, a region highly susceptible to climate change impacts on temperature and rainfall. Existing models often struggle to capture long-range dependencies and complex temporal patterns in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Usman Gani Joy , Shahadat kabir , Tasnim Niger

Short Term Load Forecast (STLF) is necessary for effective scheduling, operation optimization trading, and decision-making for electricity consumers. Modern and efficient machine learning methods are recalled nowadays to manage complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Junjie Hu , Brenda López Cabrera , Awdesch Melzer

Accurate localized wireless channel modeling is a cornerstone of cellular network optimization, enabling reliable prediction of network performance during parameter tuning. Localized statistical channel modeling (LSCM) is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Bingsheng Peng , Shutao Zhang , Xi Zheng , Ye Xue , Xinyu Qin , Tsung-Hui Chang

Additive smooth models, such as Generalized additive models (GAMs) of location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), are a popular choice for modeling experimental data. However, software available to fit such models is usually not tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Joshua Krause , Jelmer P. Borst , Jacolien van Rij

Recently, LLMs (Large Language Models) have been adapted for time series prediction with significant success in pattern recognition. However, the common belief is that these models are not suitable for predicting financial market returns,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Sebastien Valeyre , Sofiane Aboura

Radiation therapy of thoracic and abdominal tumors requires incorporating the respiratory motion into treatments. To precisely account for the patient respiratory motions and predict the respiratory signals, a generalized model for…

Medical Physics · Physics 2019-05-22 Hui Lin , Chengyu Shi , Brian Wang , Maria F. Chan , Xiaoli Tang , Wei Ji

Multivariate time series (MTS) data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in diverse domains, e.g., IoT systems, health informatics, and 5G networks. To obtain an effective representation of MTS data, it is not only essential to consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Yang Jiao , Kai Yang , Shaoyu Dou , Pan Luo , Sijia Liu , Dongjin Song

The aim of this thesis is to extend the applications of the Quantile Regression Forest (QRF) algorithm to handle mixed-frequency and longitudinal data. To this end, standard statistical approaches have been exploited to build two novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-25 Mila Andreani

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, long short term memory (LSTM), one kind of recurrent neural network (RNN), has been widely applied in time series prediction. Like RNN, Transformer is designed to handle the sequential…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Paul Bilokon , Yitao Qiu

This research examines the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) in predicting time series, with a specific focus on the LLMTIME model. Despite the established effectiveness of LLMs in tasks such as text generation, language translation, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Rui Cao , Qiao Wang

Investors and stock market analysts face major challenges in predicting stock returns and making wise investment decisions. The predictability of equity stock returns can boost investor confidence, but it remains a difficult task. To…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Adebola K. Ojo , Ifechukwude Jude Okafor

The field of lung nodule detection and cancer prediction has been rapidly developing with the support of large public data archives. Previous studies have largely focused on cross-sectional (single) CT data. Herein, we consider longitudinal…

Time-series forecasting in real-world applications such as finance and energy often faces challenges due to limited training data and complex, noisy temporal dynamics. Existing deep forecasting models typically supervise predictions using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Jiacheng You , Jingcheng Yang , Yuhang Xie , Zhongxuan Wu , Xiucheng Li , Feng Li , Pengjie Wang , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng , Xinyang Chen

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

A time-series forecasting method for high-dimensional spatial data is proposed. The method involves optimal selection of sparse sensor positions to efficiently represent the spatial domain, time-series forecasting at these positions, and…

Mixed frequency data has been shown to improve the performance of growth-at-risk models in the literature. Most of the research has focused on imposing structure on the high-frequency lags when estimating MIDAS-QR models akin to what is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-24 Tibor Szendrei , Arnab Bhattacharjee , Mark E. Schaffer

Multivariate time series forecasting has seen widely ranging applications in various domains, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare. To capture the sophisticated temporal patterns, plenty of research studies designed complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Tianping Zhang , Yizhuo Zhang , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Xiaohan Yi , Shun Zheng , Jian Li

Recurrent Neural Networks and in particular Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks have demonstrated state-of-the-art accuracy in several emerging Artificial Intelligence tasks. However, the models are becoming increasingly demanding in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Michalis Rizakis , Stylianos I. Venieris , Alexandros Kouris , Christos-Savvas Bouganis

Time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in critical sectors such as finance, energy, transportation, and meteorology. However, Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) remains a significant challenge because real-world signals contain…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Xiang Ao
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