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Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

Traditional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are effective for handling sequential data but have limitations such as gradient vanishing and difficulty in capturing long-term dependencies, which can impact their performance in dynamic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Faezeh Sarlakifar , Mohammadreza Mohammadzadeh Asl , Sajjad Rezvani Khaledi , Armin Salimi-Badr

Multi-user delay constrained scheduling is important in many real-world applications including wireless communication, live streaming, and cloud computing. Yet, it poses a critical challenge since the scheduler needs to make real-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Pihe Hu , Ling Pan , Yu Chen , Zhixuan Fang , Longbo Huang

This paper presents a methodology for strategic day-ahead planning that uses a combination of deep learning and optimization. A noise-driven recurrent neural network structure is proposed for forecasting electricity prices and local inflow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Martin Biel

In the past extensive researches have been conducted on demand side management (DSM) program which aims at reducing peak loads and saving electricity cost. In this paper, we propose a framework to study decentralized household demand side…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-25 Hamidreza Sadeghian , Zhifang Wang

Load forecasting plays a pivotal role in the safe and stable operation of power systems. Conventional deep learning methods often struggle to adapt to few-shot scenarios frequently encountered in industrial applications. Existing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Yuxuan Chen , Shuo Dai , Ruoyi Xu , Haipeng Xie

This paper addresses the use of smart-home sensor streams for continuous prediction of energy loads of individual households which participate as an agent in local markets. We introduces a new device level energy consumption dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Christoph Doblander , Martin Strohbach , Holger Ziekow , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Dynamic Line Rating (DLR) systems are crucial for renewable energy integration in transmission networks. However, traditional methods relying on sensor data face challenges due to the impracticality of installing sensors on every pole or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Henri Manninen , Markus Lippus , Georg Rute

Accurate day-ahead individual residential load forecasting is of great importance to various applications of smart grid on day-ahead market. Deep learning, as a powerful machine learning technology, has shown great advantages and promising…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-23 Yunyou Huang , Nana Wang , Wanling Gao , Xiaoxu Guo , Cheng Huang , Tianshu Hao , Jianfeng Zhan

In the realm of Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems, the forecasting of rider demand is a cornerstone for operational decision-making and system optimization. Traditional forecasting methodologies primarily yield point estimates, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Xiaoming Li , Hubert Normandin-Taillon , Chun Wang , Xiao Huang

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

With the booming growth of advanced digital technologies, it has become possible for users as well as distributors of energy to obtain detailed and timely information about the electricity consumption of households. These technologies can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam , Daniel Bonilla Licea , Mounir Ghogho , Abdellatif Kobbane

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Time series forecasting has seen many methods attempted over the past few decades, including traditional technical analysis, algorithmic statistical models, and more recent machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Harshal Patel , Bharath Kumar Bolla , Sabeesh E , Dinesh Reddy

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Unsteady fluid systems are nonlinear high-dimensional dynamical systems that may exhibit multiple complex phenomena both in time and space. Reduced Order Modeling (ROM) of fluid flows has been an active research topic in the recent decade…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-05 Hamidreza Eivazi , Hadi Veisi , Mohammad Hossein Naderi , Vahid Esfahanian

This paper addresses the mid-term electricity load forecasting problem. Solving this problem is necessary for power system operation and planning as well as for negotiating forward contracts in deregulated energy markets. We show that our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Boris N. Oreshkin , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Ekaterina Turkina