Related papers: Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations for a supercritical…
Let $(Z_n,n\geq 0)$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson process whose offspring distribution $\mu$ has mean $\lambda>1$ and is such that $\int x(\log(x))_+ d\mu(x)<+\infty$. According to the famous Kesten \& Stigum theorem, $(Z_n/\lambda^n)$…
A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…
Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…
Multi-type inhomogeneous Galton--Watson process with immigration is investigated, where the offspring mean matrix slowly converges to a critical mean matrix. Under general conditions we obtain limit distribution for the process, where the…
A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…
Cram\'{e}r-type large deviations for means of samples from a finite population are established under weak conditions. The results are comparable to results for the so-called self-normalized large deviation for independent random variables.…
In this paper we study several aspects of the growth of a supercritical Galton-Watson process {Z_n:n\ge1}, and bring out some criticality phenomena determined by the Schroder constant. We develop the local limit theory of Z_n, that is, the…
The naive importance sampling estimator, based on samples from a single importance density, can be numerically unstable. Instead, we consider generalized importance sampling estimators where samples from more than one probability…
Consider the random walk $G_n : = g_n \ldots g_1$, $n \geq 1$, where $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random elements with law $\mu$ on the general linear group ${\rm GL}(V)$ with $V=\mathbb R^d$.…
Let $\left\{ Z(n),n\geq 1\right\} $ be a critical Galton-Watson branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(n)\leq \varphi (n)$, where either $\varphi (n)=an$ for some $a>0$ or $\varphi…
We establish Cram\'er type moderate deviation (MD}) results for heavy trimmed L-statistics; we obtain our results under a very mild smoothness condition on the inversion $F^{-1}$ ($F$ is the underlying distribution of i.i.d. observations)…
Let $A$ be a primitive matrix and let $\lambda$ be its Perron-Frobenius eigenvalue. We give formulas expressing the associated normalized Perron-Frobenius eigenvector as a simple functional of a multitype Galton-Watson process whose mean…
This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and estimation of the asymptotic…
In this paper, we study the self-normalized Cram\'er-type moderate deviation of the empirical measure of the stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD). Consequently, we also derive the Berry-Esseen bound for SGLD. Our approach is by…
We study the harmonic moments of Galton-Watson processes, possibly non homogeneous, with positive values. Good estimates of these are needed to compute unbiased estimators for non canonical branching Markov processes, which occur, for…
A $\lambda$-invariant measure of a sub-Markov chain is a left eigenvector of its transition matrix of eigenvalue $\lambda$. In this article, we give an explicit integral representation of the $\lambda$-invariant measures of subcritical…
The asymptotic normality of conditional least squares estimators for the offspring variance in critical branching processes with non-homogeneous immigration is established, under moment assumptions on both reproduction and immigration. The…
We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…
We study the asymptotic behavior of small deviation probabilities for the critical Galton-Watson processes with infinite variance of the offspring sizes of particles and apply the obtained result to investigate the structure of a reduced…
In this paper we study the moderate deviations for the magnetization of critical Curie-Weiss model. Chen, Fang and Shao considered a similar problem for non-critical model by using Stein method. By direct and simple arguments based on…