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We consider approximate maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models. We discuss both direct optimization of the likelihood and expectation--maximization (EM). For EM, we also give closed-form expressions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Juho Kokkala , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä

Surface-based data is commonly observed in diverse practical applications spanning various fields. In this paper, we introduce a novel nonparametric method to discover the underlying signals from data distributed on complex surface-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Zhiling Gu , Shan Yu , Guannan Wang , Ming-Jun Lai , Li Wang

In many applications that involve the inference of an unknown smooth function, the inference of its derivatives will often be just as important as that of the function itself. To make joint inferences of the function and its derivatives, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Ziang Zhang , Alex Stringer , Patrick Brown , Jamie Stafford

A smoothing algorithm is presented for solving the soft-margin Support Vector Machine (SVM) optimization problem with an $\ell^{1}$ penalty. This algorithm is designed to require a modest number of passes over the data, which is an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Ibrahim Emirahmetoglu , Jeffrey Hajewski , Suely Oliveira , David E. Stewart

Smoothing splines can be thought of as the posterior mean of a Gaussian process regression in a certain limit. By constructing a reproducing kernel Hilbert space with an appropriate inner product, the Bayesian form of the V-spline is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Zhanglong Cao , David Bryant , Matthew Parry

Testing procedures for assessing specific parametric model forms, or for checking the plausibility of simplifying assumptions, play a central role in the mathematical treatment of the uncertain. No certain answers are obtained by testing…

We adapt the interactive spline model of Wahba to growth curves with covariates. The smoothing spline formulation permits a non-parametric representation of the growth curves. In the limit when the discretization error is small relative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Kurt S. Riedel , Kaya Imre

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Let a continuous random process $X$ defined on $[0,1]$ be $(m+\beta)$-smooth, $0\le m, 0<\beta\le 1$, in quadratic mean for all $t>0$ and have an isolated singularity point at $t=0$. In addition, let $X$ be locally like a $m$-fold…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-20 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

A significant hurdle for analyzing large sample data is the lack of effective statistical computing and inference methods. An emerging powerful approach for analyzing large sample data is subsampling, by which one takes a random subsample…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Rong Zhu , Ping Ma , Michael W. Mahoney , Bin Yu

Choosing the optimization algorithm that performs best on a given machine learning problem is often delicate, and there is no guarantee that current state-of-the-art algorithms will perform well across all tasks. Consequently, the more…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Måns Williamson , Monika Eisenmann , Tony Stillfjord

We consider the problem of estimating an unknown function f* and its partial derivatives from a noisy data set of n observations, where we make no assumptions about f* except that it is smooth in the sense that it has square integrable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-17 Eunji Lim

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

In this paper we provide a priori error estimates in standard Sobolev (semi-)norms for approximation in spline spaces of maximal smoothness on arbitrary grids. The error estimates are expressed in terms of a power of the maximal grid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Espen Sande , Carla Manni , Hendrik Speleers

A prevalent problem in general state-space models is the approximation of the smoothing distribution of a state, or a sequence of states, conditional on the observations from the past, the present, and the future. The aim of this paper is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Randal Douc , Aurelien Garivier , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Within the framework of smoothing spline ANOVA, we propose a plug-in kernel ridge regression estimator to estimate the derivatives of the underlying multivariate regression function. We first establish an $L_\infty$ convergence rate of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ruiqi Liu , Kexuan Li , Meng Li

We introduce and analyze an algorithm for the minimization of convex functions that are the sum of differentiable terms and proximable terms composed with linear operators. The method builds upon the recently developed smoothed gap…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Quang Van Nguyen , Olivier Fercoq , Volkan Cevher

Given a data set (t_i, y_i), i=1,..., n with the t_i in [0,1] non-parametric regression is concerned with the problem of specifying a suitable function f_n:[0,1] -> R such that the data can be reasonably approximated by the points (t_i,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-18 P. L. Davies , M. Meise

We present a static analysis for discovering differentiable or more generally smooth parts of a given probabilistic program, and show how the analysis can be used to improve the pathwise gradient estimator, one of the most popular methods…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Wonyeol Lee , Xavier Rival , Hongseok Yang

We develop constrained Bayesian estimation methods for small area problems: those requiring smoothness with respect to similarity across areas, such as geographic proximity or clustering by covariates; and benchmarking constraints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-28 Rebecca C. Steorts