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Optimal transport has become part of the standard quantitative economics toolbox. It is the framework of choice to describe models of matching with transfers, but beyond that, it allows to: extend quantile regression; identify discrete…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-13 Alfred Galichon

Contagion is an extremely important topic in finance. Contagion is at the core of most major financial crises, in particular the 2008 financial crisis. Although various approaches to quantifying contagion have been proposed, many of them…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Katerina Rigana , Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit , Samantha Cook

Emergence and causality are two fundamental concepts for understanding complex systems. They are interconnected. On one hand, emergence refers to the phenomenon where macroscopic properties cannot be solely attributed to the cause of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-27 Bing Yuan , Zhang Jiang , Aobo Lyu , Jiayun Wu , Zhipeng Wang , Mingzhe Yang , Kaiwei Liu , Muyun Mou , Peng Cui

We study financial systems from a game-theoretic standpoint. A financial system is represented by a network, where nodes correspond to firms, and directed labeled edges correspond to debt contracts between them. The existence of cycles in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Panagiotis Kanellopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou , Hao Zhou

We present a brief introduction to a flexible, general network inference framework which models data as a network space, sampled to optimize network structure to a particular task. We introduce a formal problem statement related to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-03 Ivan Brugere , Chris Kanich , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

The econophysics approach to socio-economic systems is based on the assumption of their complexity. Such assumption inevitably lead to another assumption, namely that underlying interconnections within socio-economic systems, particularly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-19 Paweł Fiedor

In statistical physics any given system can be either at an equilibrium or away from it. Networks are not an exception. Most network models can be classified as either equilibrium or growing. Here we show that under certain conditions there…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-08-13 Dmitri Krioukov , Massimo Ostilli

The paper reviews methods that seek to draw causal inference from observational data and demonstrates how they can be applied to empirical problems in engineering research. It presents a framework for causal identification based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-28 Daniel J Graham

Causal identification is at the core of the causal inference literature, where complete algorithms have been proposed to identify causal queries of interest. The validity of these algorithms hinges on the restrictive assumption of having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Sina Akbari , Fateme Jamshidi , Ehsan Mokhtarian , Matthew J. Vowels , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Network models are used to study interconnected systems across many physical, biological, and social disciplines. Such models often assume a particular network-generating mechanism, which when fit to data produces estimates of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Ryan E. Langendorf , Matthew G. Burgess

This paper is about the general disconnect that we see, both in practice and in literature, between the disciplines of travel demand modeling and causal inference. In this paper, we assert that travel demand modeling should be one of the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-29 Timothy Brathwaite , Joan Walker

We analyse a quantum-like Bayesian Network that puts together cause/effect relationships and semantic similarities between events. These semantic similarities constitute acausal connections according to the Synchronicity principle and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-28 Catarina Moreira , Andreas Wichert

Causal Models are like Dependency Graphs and Belief Nets in that they provide a structure and a set of assumptions from which a joint distribution can, in principle, be computed. Unlike Dependency Graphs, Causal Models are models of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 John F. Lemmer

The class of problems in causal inference which seeks to isolate causal correlations solely from observational data even without interventions has come to the forefront of machine learning, neuroscience and social sciences. As new large…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2022-01-02 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Vaneet Aggarwal , Fanglin Bao , Zubin Jacob

Causal networks beyond that in the paradigmatic Bell's theorem can lead to new kinds and applications of non-classical behavior. Their study, however, has been hindered by the fact that they define a non-convex set of correlations and only…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-16 Giulio Camillo , Pedro Lauand , Davide Poderini , Rafael Rabelo , Rafael Chaves

Inference is a fundamental reasoning technique in probability theory. When applied to a large joint distribution, it involves updating with evidence (conditioning) in one or more components (variables) and computing the outcome in other…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Bart Jacobs , Márk Széles , Dario Stein

Networks are models representing relationships between entities. Often these relationships are explicitly given, or we must learn a representation which generalizes and predicts observed behavior in underlying individual data (e.g.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-19 Ivan Brugere , Chris Kanich , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

We offer a graphical interpretation of unfairness in a dataset as the presence of an unfair causal path in the causal Bayesian network representing the data-generation mechanism. We use this viewpoint to revisit the recent debate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-16 Silvia Chiappa , William S. Isaac

Inferring the causal direction between two variables from their observation data is one of the most fundamental and challenging topics in data science. A causal direction inference algorithm maps the observation data into a binary value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Yulai Zhang , Jiachen Wang , Gang Cen , Guiming Luo

Provenance, or information about the sources, derivation, custody or history of data, has been studied recently in a number of contexts, including databases, scientific workflows and the Semantic Web. Many provenance mechanisms have been…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-06-09 James Cheney
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