Related papers: Total variation distance between a jump-equation a…

The aim of this paper is to analyze a class of random motions which models the motion of a particle on the real line with random velocity and subject to the action of the friction. The speed randomly changes when a Poissonian event occurs.…

We consider equidistant approximations of stochastic integrals driven by H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order $H>\frac12$ with discontinuous integrands involving bounded variation functions. We give exact rate of convergence in…

Using key tools such as It\^o formula for general semi-martingales, moments estimates for L\'{e}vy-type stochastic integrals and properties of regular varying functions we find conditions under which solutions of stochastic differential…

We propose a method to exactly generate Brownian paths $x_c(t)$ that are constrained to return to the origin at some future time $t_f$, with a given fixed area $A_f = \int_0^{t_f}dt\, x_c(t)$ under their trajectory. We derive an exact…

We consider a discrete-time random walk where the random increment at time step $t$ depends on the full history of the process. We calculate exactly the mean and variance of the position and discuss its dependence on the initial condition…

We obtain upper bounds for the total variation distance between the distributions of two Gibbs point processes in a very general setting. Applications are provided to various well-known processes and settings from spatial statistics and…

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Recently, it has been shown in [Hairer, M., Hutzenthaler, M., Jentzen, A., Loss of regularity for Kolmogorov equations, Ann. Probab. 43, 2 (2015), 468--527] that there exists a system of stochastic differential equations (SDE) on the time…

Using a variational technique, we generalize the statistical physics approach of learning from random examples to make it applicable to real data. We demonstrate the validity and relevance of our method by computing approximate estimators…

This work introduces a new, explicit bound on the Hellinger distance between a continuous random variable and a Gaussian with matching mean and variance. As example applications, we derive a quantitative Hellinger central limit theorem and…

Adaptive importance sampling techniques are widely known for the Gaussian setting of Brownian driven diffusions. In this work, we want to extend them to jump processes. Our approach relies on a change of the jump intensity combined with the…

Investigating the dynamics of learning in machine learning algorithms is of paramount importance for understanding how and why an approach may be successful. The tools of physics and statistics provide a robust setting for such…

This article investigates discrete-time approximations of stochastic integrals driven by semimartingales with jumps via weighted bounded mean oscillation (BMO) approach. This approach enables $L_p$-estimates, $p \in (2, \infty)$, for the…

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

We calculate analytically the probability density $P(t_m)$ of the time $t_m$ at which a continuous-time Brownian motion (with and without drift) attains its maximum before passing through the origin for the first time. We also compute the…

The paper provides an estimate of the total variation distance between distributions of polynomials defined on a space equipped with a logarithmically concave measure in terms of the $L^2$-distance between these polynomials.

Density-dependent Markov chains form an important class of continuous-time Markov chains in population dynamics. On any fixed time window [0, T ], when the scale parameter K > 0 is large such chains are well approximated by the solution of…

We study one-dimensional discrete as well as continuous time random walks, either with a fixed number of steps (for discrete time) $n$ or on a fixed time interval $T$ (for continuous time). In both cases, we focus on symmetric probability…

In the context of order statistics of discrete time random walks (RW), we investigate the statistics of the gap, $G_n$, and the number of time steps, $L_n$, between the two highest positions of a Markovian one-dimensional random walker,…