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We study the distribution of 2,837 inter-murder intervals (cooling off periods) for 1,012 American serial killers. The distribution is smooth, following a power law in the region of 10-10,000 days. The power law cuts off where inter-murder…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 E. Yaksic , M. V. Simkin , V. P. Roychowdhury

We analyze the time pattern of the activity of a serial killer, who during twelve years had murdered 53 people. The plot of the cumulative number of murders as a function of time is of "Devil's staircase" type. The distribution of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-29 M. V. Simkin , V. P. Roychowdhury

Justice systems are sometimes called upon to evaluate cases in which health-care professionals are suspected of killing their patients illegally. These cases are difficult to evaluate because they involve at least two levels of uncertainty.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 P. J. Green , R. D. Gill , N. Mackenzie , J. Mortera , W. C. Thompson

Crime is highly concentrated in a few places, is committed by a few offenders and is suffered by a few victims. In recent decades, the concentration of crime has become an accepted fact, yet, little is known in terms of how to measure this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-11 Rafael Prieto Curiel

The underlying reasons behind modern terrorism are seemingly complex and intangible. Despite diverse causal mechanisms, research has shown that there exists general statistical patterns at the global scale that can shed light on human…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Weisi Guo

There have been more hitting streaks in Major League Baseball than we would expect. All batting lines of MLB hitters from 1957-2006 were randomly permuted 10,000 times and the number of hitting streaks of each length from 2 to 100 was…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-10 Trent McCotter

We use a comprehensive longitudinal dataset on criminal acts over five years in a European country to study specialization in criminal careers. We cluster crime categories by their relative co-occurrence within criminal careers, deriving a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-18 Georg Heiler , Tuan Pham , Jan Korbel , Johannes Wachs , Stefan Thurner

Suspicions about medical murder sometimes arise due to a surprising or unexpected series of events, such as an apparently unusual number of deaths among patients under the care of a particular nurse. But also a single disturbing event might…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-07 Francesco Dotto , Richard D. Gill , Julia Mortera

The case of the Zodiac Killer is one of the most widely known unsolved serial killer cases in history. The unidentified killer murdered five known victims and terrorized the state of California. He also communicated extensively with the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-27 David Oranchak , Sam Blake , Jarl Van Eycke

Terrorist network is a paradigms to understand the terrorism. The terrorist involves a lot of people, and among them are involved as perpetrators, but on the contrary it is very difficult to know who they are caused by lack of information.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Mahyuddin K. M. Nasution , Maria Elfida

Data collected in criminal investigations may suffer from: (i) incompleteness, due to the covert nature of criminal organisations; (ii) incorrectness, caused by either unintentional data collection errors and intentional deception by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Annamaria Ficara , Lucia Cavallaro , Francesco Curreri , Giacomo Fiumara , Pasquale De Meo , Ovidiu Bagdasar , Wei Song , Antonio Liotta

When looking at mass shooting incidents, suicidal shooters seem to carry an even more extreme sense of terror and brutality. The current study aimed to examine how mass shooters suicidality and suicide behavioral threshold influence the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Quan-Hoang Vuong , Minh-Hoang Nguyen , Ruining Jin , Tam-Tri Le

Understanding the causes of crime is a longstanding issue in researcher's agenda. While it is a hard task to extract causality from data, several linear models have been proposed to predict crime through the existing correlations between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-10 Luiz G A Alves , Haroldo V Ribeiro , Francisco A Rodrigues

Traditional crime prediction techniques are slow and inefficient when generating predictions as crime increases rapidly \cite{r15}. To enhance traditional crime prediction methods, a Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit model was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Patricia Dao , Jashmitha Sappa , Saanvi Terala , Tyson Wong , Michael Lam , Kevin Zhu

The sequence of middle divisors is shown to be unbounded. For a given number $n$, $a_{n,0}$ is the number of divisors of $n$ in between $\sqrt{n/2}$ and $\sqrt{2n}$. We explicitly construct a sequence of numbers $n(i)$ and a list of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-08 Jon Eivind Vatne

It is quite evident that majority of the population lives in urban area today than in any time of the human history. This trend seems to increase in coming years. A study [5] says that nearly 80.7% of total population in USA stays in urban…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-31 Saroj Kumar Dash , Ilya Safro , Ravisutha Sakrepatna Srinivasamurthy

Relevant research has been highlighted in the computing community to develop machine learning models capable of predicting the occurrence of crimes, analyzing contexts of crimes, extracting profiles of individuals linked to crime, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-23 José Ribeiro , Lair Meneses , Denis Costa , Wando Miranda , Ronnie Alves

TV series such as HBO's Game of Thrones have seen a high number of dedicated followers, mostly due to the dramatic murders of the most important characters. In our work, we try to predict killer and victim pairs using data about previous…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Jaka Stavanja , Matej Klemen , Lovro Šubelj

Let U be an open set in R^d. We show that under a mild assumption on the richness of the generator a Feller process in U with (predictable) killing is a semimartingale. To this end we generalize the notion of semimartingales in a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Alexander Schnurr

Estimating the unknown number of classes in a population has numerous important applications. In a Poisson mixture model, the problem is reduced to estimating the odds that a class is undetected in a sample. The discontinuity of the odds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Chang Xuan Mao , Bruce G. Lindsay
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