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We present a quadrotor dynamics Gaussian Process (GP) with gradient information that achieves real-time inference via state-space partitioning and approximation, and that includes aerodynamic effects using data from mid-fidelity potential…
We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…
Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…
Gaussian processes (GPs) are a ubiquitous tool for geostatistical modeling with high levels of flexibility and interpretability, and the ability to make predictions at unseen spatial locations through a process called Kriging. Estimation of…
Algorithms for signal recovery in compressed sensing (CS) are often improved by stabilization techniques, such as damping, or the less widely known so-called fractional approach, which is based on the expectation propagation (EP) framework.…
Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) is pivotal in robotics, with photorealistic scene reconstruction emerging as a key challenge. To address this, we introduce Computational Alignment for Real-Time Gaussian Splatting SLAM (CaRtGS),…
Gaussian random field is a ubiquitous model for spatial phenomena in diverse scientific disciplines. Its approximation is often crucial for computational feasibility in simulation, inference, and uncertainty quantification. The…
Recent developments in non-ergodic ground-motion models (GMMs) explicitly model systematic spatial variations in source, site, and path effects, reducing standard deviation to 30-40% of ergodic models and enabling more accurate…
Computer models (simulators) are vital tools for investigating physical processes. Despite their utility, the prohibitive run-time of simulators hinders their direct application for uncertainty quantification. Gaussian process emulators…
We develop a class of nearest-neighbor mixture models that provide direct, computationally efficient, probabilistic modeling for non-Gaussian geospatial data. The class is defined over a directed acyclic graph, which implies conditional…
We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…
We develop a coarse grained (CG) approach for efficiently simulating calcium dynamics in the endoplasmic reticulum membrane based on a fine stochastic lattice gas model. By grouping neighboring microscopic sites together into CG cells and…
Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based computational approach for Bayesian inference, has shown great success in approximating complex posterior distributions. Existing NPE methods typically rely on normalizing flows, which…
Gaussian stochastic process emulation is a powerful tool for approximating computationally intensive computer models. However, estimation of parameters in the GaSP emulator is a challenging task. No closed-form estimator is available, and…
This paper establishes the theoretical foundation for statistical applications of an intriguing new type of spatial point processes called critical point processes. These point processes, residing in Euclidean space, consist of the critical…
We provide a survey of nonstationary surrogate models which utilize Gaussian processes (GPs) or variations thereof, including nonstationary kernel adaptations, partition and local GPs, and spatial warpings through deep Gaussian processes.…
In this paper, we investigate Gaussian process regression models where inputs are subject to measurement error. In spatial statistics, input measurement errors occur when the geographical locations of observed data are not known exactly.…
This paper is motivated by a computer experiment conducted for optimizing residual stresses in the machining of metals. Although kriging is widely used in the analysis of computer experiments, it cannot be easily applied to model the…
In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…
This paper is due to appear as a chapter of the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) by S. Sisson, L. Fan, and M. Beaumont. We describe the challenge of calibrating climate simulators, and discuss the differences…