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We develop a novel Empirical Bayes methodology for prediction under check loss in high-dimensional Gaussian models. The check loss is a piecewise linear loss function having differential weights for measuring the amount of underestimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Gourab Mukherjee , Lawrence D. Brown , Paat Rusmevichientong

In the present work, a rate-dependent cohesive zone model for the fracture of polymeric interfaces is presented. Inverse calibration of parameters for such complex models through trial and error is computationally tedious due to the large…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Ponkrshnan Thiagarajan , Trisha Sain , Susanta Ghosh

In this paper several related estimation problems are addressed from a Bayesian point of view and optimal estimators are obtained for each of them when some natural loss functions are considered. Namely, we are interested in estimating a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 A. G. Nogales

We address the question of estimating Kullback-Leibler losses rather than squared losses in recovery problems where the noise is distributed within the exponential family. Inspired by Stein unbiased risk estimator (SURE), we exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-22 Charles-Alban Deledalle

Effective uncertainty quantification is important for training modern predictive models with limited data, enhancing both accuracy and robustness. While Bayesian methods are effective for this purpose, they can be challenging to scale. When…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Jasmeet Kaur

Visual affordances identify regions in an image with potential interactions, offering a novel paradigm for scene understanding. Recognizing affordances allows autonomous robots to act more naturally, could enhance human-robot interactions,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Lorenzo Mur-Labadia , Ruben Martinez-Cantina , Jose J. Guerrero

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper we discuss a well known computing problem -- inference for models with intractable normalizing functions. Models with intractable normalizing functions arise in a wide variety of areas, for instance network models, models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Murali Haran , Bokgyeong Kang , Jaewoo Park

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

Neural networks used for multi-interaction trajectory reconstruction lack the ability to estimate the uncertainty in their outputs, which would be useful to better analyse and understand the systems they model. In this paper we extend the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Vasileios Karavias , Ben Day , Pietro Liò

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

This paper deals with the problem of estimating predictive densities of a matrix-variate normal distribution with known covariance matrix. Our main aim is to establish some Bayesian predictive densities related to matricial shrinkage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Hisayuki Tsukuma , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

We study frequentist risk properties of predictive density estimators for mean mixtures of multivariate normal distributions, involving an unknown location parameter $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$, and which include multivariate skew normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Pankaj Bhagwat , Eric Marchand

Model-based geostatistical design involves the selection of locations to collect data to minimise an expected loss function over a set of all possible locations. The loss function is specified to reflect the aim of data collection, which,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-03 S. G. Jagath Senarathne , Werner G. Müller , James M. McGree

Bayesian and frequentist inference are two fundamental paradigms in statistical estimation. Bayesian methods treat hypotheses as random variables, incorporating priors and updating beliefs via Bayes' theorem, whereas frequentist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Sarthak Mittal , Yoshua Bengio , Nikolay Malkin , Guillaume Lajoie

This work proposes a Bayesian rule based on the mixture of a point mass function at zero and the logistic distribution to perform wavelet shrinkage in nonparametric regression models with stationary errors (with short or long-memory…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-24 Alex Rodrigo dos S. Sousa , Mauricio Zevallos

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou