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Mean-field approximation is often used to explore the qualitative behaviour of phase transitions in classical spin models before employing computationally costly methods such as the Monte-Carlo techniques. We implement a 'lattice…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2020-07-28 Ondrej Hovorka , Timothy J. Sluckin

We use the martingale method to discuss the relationship between mean-variance (MV) and monotone mean-variance (MMV) portfolio selections. We propose a unified framework to discuss the relationship in general financial markets without any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Yuchen Li , Zongxia Liang , Shunzhi Pang

Here, we study machine learning (ML) architectures to solve a mean-field games (MFGs) system arising in price formation models. We formulate a training process that relies on a min-max characterization of the optimal control and price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Diogo Gomes , Julián Gutiérrez , Mathieu Laurière

The mean-field Langevin dynamics (MFLD) minimizes an entropy-regularized nonlinear convex functional on the Wasserstein space over $\mathbb{R}^d$, and has gained attention recently as a model for the gradient descent dynamics of interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Anming Gu , Juno Kim

This paper does not suppose a priori that the evolution of the price of a financial asset is a semimartingale. Since possible strategies of investors are self-financing, previous prices are forced to be finite quadratic variation processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rosanna Coviello , Francesco Russo

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

The calculation of the insurance liabilities of a cohort of dependent individuals in general requires the solution of a high-dimensional system of coupled linear forward integro-differential equations, which is infeasible for a larger…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Philipp C. Hornung

We propose a multifractal model for short-term interest rates. The model is a version of the Markov-Switching Multifractal (MSM), which incorporates the well-known level effect observed in interest rates. Unlike previously suggested models,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 M. Rypdal , O. Løvsletten

We consider a market with a term structure of credit risky bonds in the single-name case. We aim at minimal assumptions extending existing results in this direction: first, the random field of forward rates is driven by a general…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-17 Sandrine Gümbel , Thorsten Schmidt

This paper studies the pricing and hedging of derivatives in frictionless and competitive, but incomplete jump-diffusion markets. A unique equivalent martingale measure (EMM) is obtained using filtration reduction to a fictitious complete…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-07 Karen Grigorian , Robert Jarrow

Dynamical mean-field theory (DMFT) is one of the most widely used theoretical methods for electronic structure calculations, providing self-consistent solutions even in low-temperature regimes, which are exact in the limit of infinite…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-09-06 Johan Carlström

We consider the mean-field game price formation model introduced by Gomes and Sa\'ude. In this MFG model, agents trade a commodity whose supply can be deterministic or stochastic. Agents maximize profit, taking into account current and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Yuri Ashrafyan , Tigran Bakaryan , Diogo Gomes , Julian Gutierrez

In this letter I discuss a class of extensions of the standard model that have a minimal number of possible parameters, but can in principle explain dark matter and inflation. It is pointed out that the so-called new minimal standard model…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-11 J. J. van der Bij

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

Mean-Field is an efficient way to approximate a posterior distribution in complex graphical models and constitutes the most popular class of Bayesian variational approximation methods. In most applications, the mean field distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Pierre Baqué , Jean-Hubert Hours , François Fleuret , Pascal Fua

The Black-Litterman model addresses the sensitivity issues of tra- ditional mean-variance optimization by incorporating investor views, but systematically generating these views remains a key challenge. This study proposes and validates a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Youngbin Lee , Yejin Kim , Juhyeong Kim , Suin Kim , Yongjae Lee

Market making (MM) has attracted significant attention in financial trading owing to its essential function in ensuring market liquidity. With strong capabilities in sequential decision-making, Reinforcement Learning (RL) technology has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hui Niu , Siyuan Li , Jiahao Zheng , Zhouchi Lin , Jian Li , Jian Guo , Bo An

A financial market model where agents trade using realistic combinations of buy-and-hold strategies is considered. Minimal assumptions are made on the discounted asset-price process - in particular, the semimartingale property is not…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-02 Constantinos Kardaras , Eckhard Platen

This paper studies the multilevel Monte-Carlo estimator for the expectation of a maximum of conditional expectations. This problem arises naturally when considering many stress tests and appears in the calculation of the interest rate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Aurélien Alfonsi , Adel Cherchali , Jose Arturo Infante Acevedo