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Uncertainty estimation in deep models is essential in many real-world applications and has benefited from developments over the last several years. Recent evidence suggests that existing solutions dependent on simple Gaussian formulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Jurijs Nazarovs , Ronak R. Mehta , Vishnu Suresh Lokhande , Vikas Singh

Learning a medical image segmentation model is an inherently ambiguous task, as uncertainties exist in both images (noise) and manual annotations (human errors and bias) used for model training. To build a trustworthy image segmentation…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Xinyu Bai , Wenjia Bai

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

We introduce inherent measures for effective quality control of brain segmentation based on a Bayesian fully convolutional neural network, using model uncertainty. Monte Carlo samples from the posterior distribution are efficiently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Abhijit Guha Roy , Sailesh Conjeti , Nassir Navab , Christian Wachinger

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Deep neural networks are known to be data-driven and label noise can have a marked impact on model performance. Recent studies have shown great robustness to classic image recognition even under a high noisy rate. In medical applications,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Lie Ju , Xin Wang , Lin Wang , Dwarikanath Mahapatra , Xin Zhao , Mehrtash Harandi , Tom Drummond , Tongliang Liu , Zongyuan Ge

There has been a recent emergence of sampling-based techniques for estimating epistemic uncertainty in deep neural networks. While these methods can be applied to classification or semantic segmentation tasks by simply averaging samples,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-08 Dimity Miller , Feras Dayoub , Michael Milford , Niko Sünderhauf

The uncertainty of classification outcomes is of crucial importance for many safety critical applications including, for example, medical diagnostics. In such applications the uncertainty of classification can be reliably estimated within a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 V. Schetinin , J. E. Fieldsend , D. Partridge , W. J. Krzanowski , R. M. Everson , T. C. Bailey , A. Hernandez

This work addresses uncertainty quantification of electromagnetic devices determined by the eddy current problem. The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is used for the treatment of uncertain parameters while the devices are discretized…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Armin Galetzka , Zeger Bontinck , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

Medical image segmentation is a fundamental yet challenging task due to the arduous process of acquiring large volumes of high-quality labeled data from experts. Contrastive learning offers a promising but still problematic solution to this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Shuang Zeng , Lei Zhu , Xinliang Zhang , Micky C Nnamdi , Wenqi Shi , J Ben Tamo , Qian Chen , Hangzhou He , Lujia Jin , Zifeng Tian , Qiushi Ren , Zhaoheng Xie , Yanye Lu

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Computational color constancy is a preprocessing step used in many camera systems. The main aim is to discount the effect of the illumination on the colors in the scene and restore the original colors of the objects. Recently, several deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Firas Laakom , Jenni Raitoharju , Alexandros Iosifidis , Jarno Nikkanen , Moncef Gabbouj

We use the Multi Level Monte Carlo method to estimate uncertainties in a Henry-like salt water intrusion problem with a fracture. The flow is induced by the variation of the density of the fluid phase, which depends on the mass fraction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Dmitry Logashenko , Alexander Litvinenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum

Epistemic uncertainty is crucial for safety-critical applications and data acquisition tasks. Yet, we find an important phenomenon in deep learning models: an epistemic uncertainty collapse as model complexity increases, challenging the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Andreas Kirsch

Vision-language models (VLMs), such as CLIP, have gained popularity for their strong open vocabulary classification performance, but they are prone to assigning high confidence scores to misclassifications, limiting their reliability in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Zhenxiang Lin , Maryam Haghighat , Will Browne , Dimity Miller

Trusting the predictions of deep learning models in safety critical settings such as the medical domain is still not a viable option. Distentangled uncertainty quantification in the field of medical imaging has received little attention. In…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-14 Kumud Lakara , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Medical images are often used to detect and characterize pathology and disease; however, automatically identifying and segmenting pathology in medical images is challenging because the appearance of pathology across diseases varies widely.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-19 Jacob C. Reinhold , Yufan He , Shizhong Han , Yunqiang Chen , Dashan Gao , Junghoon Lee , Jerry L. Prince , Aaron Carass

In computational histopathology algorithms now outperform humans on a range of tasks, but to date none are employed for automated diagnoses in the clinic. Before algorithms can be involved in such high-stakes decisions they need to "know…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Lea Goetz

In this paper we develop a very efficient approach to the Monte Carlo estimation of the expected value of partial perfect information (EVPPI) that measures the average benefit of knowing the value of a subset of uncertain parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Michael B. Giles , Takashi Goda

Credal sets, i.e., closed convex sets of probability measures, provide a natural framework to represent aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning. Yet how to quantify these two types of uncertainty for a given credal set,…