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Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

Despite their popularity, machine learning predictions are sensitive to potential unobserved predictors. This paper proposes a general algorithm that assesses how the omission of an unobserved variable with high explanatory power could…

Model-based approaches for (bio)process systems often suffer from incomplete knowledge of the underlying physical, chemical, or biological laws. Universal differential equations, which embed neural networks within differential equations,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Arno Strouwen

We prove risk bounds for binary classification in high-dimensional settings when the sample size is allowed to be smaller than the dimensionality of the training set observations. In particular, we prove upper bounds for both 'compressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Ata Kaban , Robert J. Durrant

This paper investigates system identification problems with Gaussian inputs and quantized observations under fixed thresholds. By reinterpreting the nonlinear effects induced by quantization as the product of the unknown parameter and an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Xingrui Liu , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao

Learning of matrix-valued data has recently surged in a range of scientific and business applications. Trace regression is a widely used method to model effects of matrix predictors and has shown great success in matrix learning. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-06 Chanwoo Lee , Lexin Li , Hao Helen Zhang , Miaoyan Wang

On a variety of complex decision-making tasks, from doctors prescribing treatment to judges setting bail, machine learning algorithms have been shown to outperform expert human judgments. One complication, however, is that it is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jongbin Jung , Ravi Shroff , Avi Feller , Sharad Goel

The dramatic increase of autonomous systems subject to variable environments has given rise to the pressing need to consider risk in both the synthesis and verification of policies for these systems. This paper aims to address a few…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Prithvi Akella , Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

We develop a control algorithm that ensures the safety, in terms of confinement in a set, of a system with unknown, 2nd-order nonlinear dynamics. The algorithm establishes novel connections between data-driven and robust, nonlinear control.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Christos K. Verginis , Franck Djeumou , Ufuk Topcu

Bayesian networks are basic graphical models, used widely both in statistics and artificial intelligence. These statistical models of conditional independence structure are described by acyclic directed graphs whose nodes correspond to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Raymond Hemmecke , Silvia Lindner , Milan Studený

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling

In nonadaptive group testing, the main research objective is to design an efficient algorithm to identify a set of up to $t$ positive elements among $n$ samples with as few tests as possible. Disjunct matrices and separable matrices are two…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Bingchen Qian , Xin Wang , Gennian Ge

Many machine learning strategies designed to automate mathematical tasks leverage neural networks to search large combinatorial spaces of mathematical symbols. In contrast to traditional evolutionary approaches, using a neural network at…

Evolutionary symbolic regression (SR) fits a symbolic equation to data, which gives a concise interpretable model. We explore using SR as a method to propose which data to gather in an active learning setting with physical constraints. SR…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Jorge Medina , Andrew D. White

We propose a constructive algorithm for identifying complete data distributions in graphical models of missing data. The complete data distribution is unrestricted, while the missingness mechanism is assumed to factorize according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Anna Guo , Razieh Nabi

Statistical modeling can involve a tension between assumptions and statistical identification. The law of the observable data may not uniquely determine the value of a target parameter without invoking a key assumption, and, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Paul Gustafson

Given a sample of bids from independent auctions, this paper examines the question of inference on auction fundamentals (e.g. valuation distributions, welfare measures) under weak assumptions on information structure. The question is…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-20 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Elie Tamer , Juba Ziani

The support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is well known to the computer learning community for its very good practical results. The goal of the present paper is to study this algorithm from a statistical perspective, using tools of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Gilles Blanchard , Olivier Bousquet , Pascal Massart
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