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I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

Statistical inference about the average effect in random-effects meta-analysis has been considered insufficient in the presence of substantial between-study heterogeneity. Predictive distributions are well-suited for quantifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 David Kronthaler , Leonhard Held

Network meta-analysis (NMA) combines direct and indirect comparisons across a connected treatment network to estimate relative treatment effects. However, there is a lack of exact contribution decompositions that reproduce NMA estimates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Chong Wang , Yanqi Zhang , Zhezhen Jin , Annette O'Connor

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods permit approximate inference for intractable likelihoods when it is possible to simulate from the model. However they perform poorly for high dimensional data, and in practice must usually be…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-05 Dennis Prangle , Richard G. Everitt , Theodore Kypraios

In this article, we propose a penalized clustering method for large scale data with multiple covariates through a functional data approach. In the proposed method, responses and covariates are linked together through nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-01-17 Ping Ma , Wenxuan Zhong

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation is widely used in statistics. The h-likelihood has been proposed as an extension of Fisher's likelihood to statistical models including unobserved latent variables of recent interest. Its advantage is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee , Jae Kwang Kim

We study parameter estimation in Nonlinear Factor Analysis (NFA) where the generative model is parameterized by a deep neural network. Recent work has focused on learning such models using inference (or recognition) networks; we identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-18 Rahul G. Krishnan , Dawen Liang , Matthew Hoffman

Learning and compression are driven by the common aim of identifying and exploiting statistical regularities in data, which opens the door for fertile collaboration between these areas. A promising group of compression techniques for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Fernando E. Rosas , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Michael Gastpar

The presence of unobserved node specific heterogeneity in Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) is a general concern, both with respect to model validity as well as estimation instability. We therefore extend the ERGM by including node…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-24 Sevag Kevork , Göran Kauermann

There has been a recent critical need to study fairness and bias in machine learning (ML) algorithms. Since there is clearly no one-size-fits-all solution to fairness, ML methods should be developed alongside bias mitigation strategies that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Lara Kassab , Erin George , Deanna Needell , Haowen Geng , Nika Jafar Nia , Aoxi Li

Network structure provides critical information for understanding the dynamic behavior of networks. However, the complete structure of real-world networks is often unavailable, thus it is crucially important to develop approaches to infer a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Jin-Zhu Yu , Mincheng Wu , Gisela Bichler , Felipe Aros-Vera , Jianxi Gao

The paper introduces a penalized matrix estimation procedure aiming at solutions which are sparse and low-rank at the same time. Such structures arise in the context of social networks or protein interactions where underlying graphs have…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Emile Richard , Pierre-Andre Savalle , Nicolas Vayatis

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Skew normal mixture models provide a more flexible framework than the popular normal mixtures for modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric behaviors. Due to the unboundedness of likelihood function and the divergency of shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Libin Jin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Lixing Zhu

The cumulative incidence is the probability of failure from the cause of interest over a certain time period in the presence of other risks. A semiparametric regression model proposed by Fine and Gray (1999) has become the method of choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Lu Mao , D. Y. Lin

Survival analysis can sometimes involve individuals who will not experience the event of interest, forming what is known as the cured group. Identifying such individuals is not always possible beforehand, as they provide only right-censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Jinqing Li , Jun Ma

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

In this paper, we suggest a novel method for detecting mortality deceleration. We focus on the gamma-Gompertz frailty model and suggest the subtraction of a penalty in the log-likelihood function as an alternative to traditional likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 Silvio C. Patricio , Trifon I. Missov

As a nonparametric statistical inference approach, empirical likelihood has been found very useful in numerous occasions. However, it encounters serious computational challenges when applied directly to the modern massive dataset. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Jinye Du , Qihua Wang

A major limitation of machine learning (ML) prediction models is that they recover associational, rather than causal, predictive relationships between variables. In high-stakes automation applications of ML this is problematic, as the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Jianqiao Mao , Max A. Little