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Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used to compare multiple interventions simultaneously by synthesizing direct and indirect evidence. The general fixed or random effects contrast-based NMA model can be applied to different outcomes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Harlan Campbell , Jeroen P. Jansen

Network meta-analysis (NMA) allows the combination of direct and indirect evidence from a set of randomized clinical trials. Performing NMA using individual patient data (IPD) is considered as a "gold standard" approach as it provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Edouard Ollier , Pierre Blanchard , Gwénaël Le Teuff , Stefan Michiels

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a useful tool to compare multiple interventions simultaneously in a single meta-analysis, it can be very helpful for medical decision making when the study aims to find the best therapy among several active…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Ao Huang , Yi Zhou , Satoshi Hattori

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used in healthcare decision-making, where estimates of the effect of multiple treatments on outcomes are required. For time-to-event outcomes such as survival or disease progression the most common…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 David M. Phillippo , Ayman Sadek , Hugo Pedder , Nicky J. Welton

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a central tool for evidence synthesis in clinical research. The results of an NMA depend critically on the quality of evidence being pooled. In assessing the validity of an NMA, it is therefore important to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Annabel L. Davies , Theodoros Papakonstantinou , Adriani Nikolakopoulou , Gerta Rücker , Tobias Galla

Meta-analyses of clinical trials targeting rare events face particular challenges when the data lack adequate numbers of events for all treatment arms. Especially when the number of studies is low, standard meta-analysis methods can lead to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-20 Burak Kürsad Günhan , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Explicit modelling of between-study heterogeneity is essential in network meta-analysis (NMA) to ensure valid inference and avoid overstating precision. While the additive random-effects (RE) model is the conventional approach, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Xinlei Xu , Caitlin H Daly , Audrey Béliveau

Estimating network formation models with degree heterogeneity raises two problems in empirical networks. First, agents that send no links, receive no links, or link to all remaining agents can make the fixed-effects MLE fail to exist.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-04 Zizhong Yan , Jingrong Li , Yi Zhang

This paper studies binary logistic regression for rare events data, or imbalanced data, where the number of events (observations in one class, often called cases) is significantly smaller than the number of nonevents (observations in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-02 HaiYing Wang

Firth-type logistic regression has become a standard approach for the analysis of binary outcomes with small samples. Whereas it reduces the bias in maximum likelihood estimates of coefficients, bias towards 1/2 is introduced in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-20 Rainer Puhr , Georg Heinze , Mariana Nold , Lara Lusa , Angelika Geroldinger

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a technique used in medical statistics to combine evidence from multiple medical trials. NMA defines an inference and information processing problem on a network of treatment options and trials connecting the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-30 Annabel L. Davies , Tobias Galla

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Weijie Sun , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

In network meta-analysis (NMA), we synthesize all relevant evidence about health outcomes with competing treatments. The evidence may come from randomized controlled trials (RCT) or non-randomized studies (NRS) as individual participant…

A key output of network meta-analysis (NMA) is the relative ranking of treatments; nevertheless, it has attracted substantial criticism. Existing ranking methods often lack clear interpretability and fail to adequately account for…

Random-effects models are central to meta-analysis, yet the between-study variance is often underestimated when the number of studies is small. In such settings, confidence intervals become unduly narrow and fail to attain the nominal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Keisuke Hanada , Tomoyuki Sugimoto

Network meta-analysis (NMA) usually provides estimates of the relative effects with the highest possible precision. However, sparse networks with few available studies and limited direct evidence can arise, threatening the robustness and…

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used in evidence synthesis to estimate the effects of several competing interventions for a given clinical condition. One of the challenges is that it is not possible in disconnected networks. Component…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Maria Petropoulou , Gerta Rücker , Stephanie Weibel , Peter Kranke , Guido Schwarzer

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) models have gained popularity when analyzing time-to-event outcomes because RMST models offer more straightforward interpretations of treatment effects with fewer assumptions than hazard ratios commonly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-23 Kaiyuan Hua , Xiaofei Wang , Hwanhee Hong

Latent class analysis (LCA) is a useful tool to investigate the heterogeneity of a disease population with time-to-event data. We propose a new method based on non-parametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE), which facilitates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Teng Fei , John Hanfelt , Limin Peng

Rare event prediction involves identifying and forecasting events with a low probability using machine learning (ML) and data analysis. Due to the imbalanced data distributions, where the frequency of common events vastly outweighs that of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Chathurangi Shyalika , Ruwan Wickramarachchi , Amit Sheth
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