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Short-term forecasting is an important tool in understanding environmental processes. In this paper, we incorporate machine learning algorithms into a conditional distribution estimator for the purposes of forecasting tropical cyclone…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-19 David B. Huberman , Brian J. Reich , Howard D. Bondell

The noncentral $t$-distribution is a generalization of the Student's $t$-distribution. In this paper we suggest an alternative approach for computing the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the noncentral $t$-distribution which is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-24 Viktor Witkovsky

This papers presents a generalization of the Weitzman overlapping coefficient, originally defined for two probability density functions, to a setting involving k independent distributions, denoted by Delta. To estimate this generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Omar Eidous , Noura Almasri

In this work, we discuss a general class of the estimators for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) based on judgment post stratification (JPS) sampling scheme which includes both empirical and kernel distribution functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Mina Azizi Kouhanestani , Ehsan Zamanzade , Sareh Goli

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of and alternative inference methods for kernel density estimation (KDE) for dyadic data. We first establish uniform convergence rates for dyadic KDE. Secondly, we propose a modified jackknife…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-16 Harold D. Chiang , Bing Yang Tan

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

We introduce a new nonparametric density estimator inspired by Markov Chains, and generalizing the well-known Kernel Density Estimator (KDE). Our estimator presents several benefits with respect to the usual ones and can be used…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Andrea De Simone , Alessandro Morandini

We propose a new fully non-parametric two-step adaptive bandwidth selection method for kernel estimators of spatial point process intensity functions based on the Campbell-Mecke formula and Abramson's square root law. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 M. N. M. van Lieshout

Determining the effective permeability (keff) of geological formations has broad applications to site remediation, aquifer discharge or recharge, hydrocarbon production, and enhanced oil recovery. The objectives of this study are: (1) to…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-07 Barnabas Adeyemi , Behzad Ghanbarian , C. L. Winter , Peter R. King

We derive concentration inequalities for the supremum norm of the difference between a kernel density estimator (KDE) and its point-wise expectation that hold uniformly over the selection of the bandwidth and under weaker conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Jisu Kim , Jaehyeok Shin , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

Comparing differently sized data sets is one main task in model assessment and calibration. This is due to field data being generally sparse compared to simulated model results. We tackled this task by the application of a new…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-30 Maria-Theresia Pelz , Christopher Somes

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

Estimates of finite population cumulativedistribution functions (CDFs) and quantiles are critical forpolicy-making, resource allocation, and public health planning. For instance, federal finance agencies may require accurate estimates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Jeremy Flood , Sayed Mostafa

We propose computationally efficient methods for estimating stationary multivariate spatial and spatial-temporal spectra from incomplete gridded data. The methods are iterative and rely on successive imputation of data and updating of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-06 Joseph Guinness

Statistical post-processing of dynamical forecast ensembles is an essential component of weather forecasting. In this article, we present a post-processing method that generates full predictive probability distributions for precipitation…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer

Modeling rainfall intensity distributions across aggregation scales (from sub-hourly to weekly) is essential for hydrological risk analysis and IDF curves. Aggregation naturally imposes mathematical constraints: return levels must be…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-14 Pierre Ailliot , Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

Quantile estimation in deconvolution problems is studied comprehensively. In particular, the more realistic setup of unknown error distributions is covered. Our plug-in method is based on a deconvolution density estimator and is minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Itai Dattner , Markus Reiß , Mathias Trabs

Multivariate extreme value models are used to estimate joint risk in a number of applications, with a particular focus on environmental fields ranging from climatology and hydrology to oceanography and seismic hazards. The semi-parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Rob Lamb , Chris Sherlock

This paper introduces a novel kernel density estimator (KDE) based on the generalised exponential (GE) distribution, designed specifically for positive continuous data. The proposed GE KDE offers a mathematically tractable form that avoids…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Laura M. Craig , Wagner Barreto-Souza

We study nonparametric estimation of an unknown density function $f$ based on the ranked-based observations obtained from a partially rank-ordered set (PROS) sampling design. PROS sampling design has many applications in environmental,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Sahar Nazari , Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Mahmood Kharrati-Kopaei