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We present a general class of spatio-temporal stochastic processes describing the causal evolution of a positive-valued field in space and time. The field construction is based on independently scattered random measures of Levy type whose…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Schmiegel , O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen , H. C. Eggers

In this paper we consider a class of non-local in time telegraph equations. Recently, it has been proved that the fundamental solutions of such equations can be interpreted as the probability density function of a stochastic process. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Francisco Alegría , Juan C. Pozo

We study the dynamics of the normal implied volatility in a local volatility model, using a small-time expansion in powers of maturity T. At leading order in this expansion, the asymptotics of the normal implied volatility is similar, up to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Viorel Costeanu , Dan Pirjol

This study investigates the short-term asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility surface (IVS), with a particular focus on the at-the-money (ATM) skew and curvature, which are key determinants of the IVS shape and whose are widely…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Liexin Cheng , Xue Cheng

The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

Volatility models of price fluctuations are well studied in the econometrics literature, with more than 50 years of theoretical and empirical findings. The recent advancements in neural networks (NN) in the deep learning field have…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 German Rodikov , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Vesicles, or closed fluctuating membranes, have been modeled in two dimensions by self-avoiding polygons, weighted with respect to their perimeter and enclosed area, with the simplest model given by area-weighted excursions. These models…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-27 Nils Haug , Thomas Prellberg

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

We study a class of deterministic flows in ${\mathbb R}^{d\times k}$, parametrized by a random matrix ${\boldsymbol X}\in {\mathbb R}^{n\times d}$ with i.i.d. centered subgaussian entries. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Michael Celentano , Chen Cheng , Andrea Montanari

We statistically analyse a multivariate HJM diffusion model with stochastic volatility. The volatility process of the first factor is left totally unspecified while the volatility of the second factor is the product of an unknown process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet , Marc Hoffmann

We consider stochastic volatility dynamics driven by a general H\"older continuous Volterra-type noise and with unbounded drift. For these so-called SVV-models, we consider the explicit computation of quadratic hedging strategies. While the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility function of a stochastic differential equation driven by a gamma process. The volatility function is modelled a priori as piecewise constant, and we specify a gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

In the paper stochastic Volterra equations of nonscalar type in Hilbert space are studied. The aim of the paper is to provide some results on stochastic convolution and mild solutions to those Volterra equations. The motivation of the paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Karczewska

In this paper, we consider equilibrium strategies under Volterra processes and time-inconsistent preferences embracing mean-variance portfolio selection (MVP). Using a functional It\^o calculus approach, we overcome the non-Markovian and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-23 Bingyan Han , Hoi Ying Wong

The note is devoted to estimates for convolutions appearing in some class of stochastic Volterra equations. Two maximal inequalities and exponential tail estimate are proved by the fractional method of infinite dimensional stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Karczewska

The problem of portfolio optimization when stochastic factors drive returns and volatilities has been studied in previous works by the authors. In particular, they proposed asymptotic approximations for value functions and optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-15 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu , Ronnie Sircar

It is argued that in the case of a smooth transition across a (dilaton-driven) curvature bounce the growing mode of the vector fluctuations matches continuously with a decaying mode at later times. Analytical examples of this observation…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 Massimo Giovannini

We investigate a class of non-Markovian processes that hold particular relevance in the realm of mathematical finance. This family encompasses path-dependent volatility models, including those pioneered by [Platen and Rendek, 2018] and,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-19 Martino Grasselli , Gilles Pagès

Multivariate (or vector-valued) processes are important for modeling multiple variables. The fractal indices of the components of the underlying multivariate process play a key role in characterizing the dependence structures and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Yuzhen Zhou , Yimin Xiao

This article establishes an asymptotic theory for volatility estimation in an infinite-dimensional setting. We consider mild solutions of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations and derive a stable central limit theorem for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Fred Espen Benth , Dennis Schroers , Almut E. D. Veraart