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Related papers: Graphical models for nonstationary time series

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In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to modelling sparse time-varying networks. A positive parameter is associated to each node of a network, which models the sociability of that node. Sociabilities are assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Cian Naik , Francois Caron , Judith Rousseau , Yee Whye Teh , Konstantina Palla

Interaction graphs, such as those recording emails between individuals or transactions between institutions, tend to be sparse yet structured, and often grow in an unbounded manner. Such behavior can be well-captured by structured,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Elahe Ghalebi , Hamidreza Mahyar , Radu Grosu , Graham W. Taylor , Sinead A. Williamson

Autonomous agents rely on sensor data to construct representations of their environments, essential for predicting future events and planning their actions. However, sensor measurements suffer from limited range, occlusions, and sensor…

Most environmental phenomena, such as wind profiles, ozone concentration and sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation change depending on the location and time of occurrence.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Sahil Garg , Amarjeet Singh , Fabio Ramos

A class of multivariate spectral representations for real-valued nonstationary random variables is introduced, which is characterised by a general complex Gaussian distribution. In this way, the temporal signal properties -- harmonicity,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-29 Bruno Scalzo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

Understanding the dynamic reorganization of brain networks is critical for predicting cognitive decline, neurological progression, and individual variability in clinical outcomes. This work proposes a multimodal graph neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Preksha Girish , Rachana Mysore , Kiran K. N. , Hiranmayee R. , Shipra Prashanth , Shrey Kumar

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) are prevalent in critical domains like healthcare and finance, where accurate forecasting is vital for proactive decision-making. However, the asynchronous sampling and irregular intervals inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Jilin Hu

Visibility algorithms transform time series into graphs and encode dynamical information in their topology, paving the way for graph-theoretical time series analysis as well as building a bridge between nonlinear dynamics and network…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-11 Jacopo Iacovacci , Lucas Lacasa

Graphical models are ubiquitous tools to describe the interdependence between variables measured simultaneously such as large-scale gene or protein expression data. Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-09 Nilabja Guha , Veera Baladandayuthapani , Bani K. Mallick

There has been an increasing interest in modeling continuous-time dynamics of temporal graph data. Previous methods encode time-evolving relational information into a low-dimensional representation by specifying discrete layers of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Jin Guo , Zhen Han , Zhou Su , Jiliang Li , Volker Tresp , Yuyi Wang

Modeling heterogeneous correlated time series requires the ability to learn hidden dynamic relationships between component time series with possibly varying periodicities and generative processes. To address this challenge, we formulate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jeshwanth Mohan , Bharath Ramsundar , Sandya Subramanian

We propose a multivariate GARCH model for non-stationary health time series by modifying the variance of the observations of the standard state space model. The proposed model provides an intuitive way of dealing with heteroskedastic data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Zayd Omar , David A. Stephens , Alexandra M. Schmidt , David L. Buckeridge

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. The core assumption behind these models is that there is a latent graph between the time series (nodes) that…

Time-varying graph signals are alternative representation of multivariate (or multichannel) signals in which a single time-series is associated with each of the nodes or vertex of a graph. Aided by the graph-theoretic tools, time-varying…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Naveed ur Rehman

The Gaussian graphical model (GGM) incorporates an undirected graph to represent the conditional dependence between variables, with the precision matrix encoding partial correlation between pair of variables given the others. To achieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yueqi Qian , Xianghong Hu , Can Yang

Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Yuanqi Du , Xiaojie Guo , Hengning Cao , Yanfang Ye , Liang Zhao

Graph-based methods for signal processing have shown promise for the analysis of data exhibiting irregular structure, such as those found in social, transportation, and sensor networks. Yet, though these systems are often dynamic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Nathanael Perraudin , Andreas Loukas , Francesco Grassi , Pierre Vandergheynst

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Spatiotemporal modeling has evolved beyond simple time series analysis to become fundamental in structural time series analysis. While current research extensively employs graph neural networks (GNNs) for spatial feature extraction with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Zhaobo Hu , Vincent Gauthier , Mehdi Naima