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Regression trees and their ensemble methods are popular methods for nonparametric regression: they combine strong predictive performance with interpretable estimators. To improve their utility for locally smooth response surfaces, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Sören R. Künzel , Theo F. Saarinen , Edward W. Liu , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

The issue of estimating residual variance in regression models has experienced relatively little attention in the machine learning community. However, the estimate is of primary interest in many practical applications, e.g. as a primary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

Random forests are widely used in regression. However, the decision trees used as base learners are poor approximators of linear relationships. To address this limitation we propose RaFFLE (Random Forest Featuring Linear Extensions), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Thomas Servotte , Tim Verdonck , Ruicong Yao

Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Stefan Wager

In this paper, we aim to develop a simple and scalable reinforcement learning algorithm that uses standard supervised learning methods as subroutines. Our goal is an algorithm that utilizes only simple and convergent maximum likelihood loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Xue Bin Peng , Aviral Kumar , Grace Zhang , Sergey Levine

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

Rapid increase of traffic volume on urban roads over time has changed the traffic scenario globally. It has also increased the ratio of road accidents that can be severe and fatal in the worst case. To improve traffic safety and its…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Muhammad Umer , Saima Sadiq , Abid Ishaq , Saleem Ullah , Najia Saher , Hamza Ahmad Madni

Random Forest's performance can be matched by a single slow-growing tree (SGT), which uses a learning rate to tame CART's greedy algorithm. SGT exploits the view that CART is an extreme case of an iterative weighted least square procedure.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-15 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

The Random Forest (RF) classifier is often claimed to be relatively well calibrated when compared with other machine learning methods. Moreover, the existing literature suggests that traditional calibration methods, such as isotonic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Mohammad Hossein Shaker , Eyke Hüllermeier

In many areas, practitioners need to analyze large datasets that challenge conventional single-machine computing. To scale up data analysis, distributed and parallel computing approaches are increasingly needed. Here we study a fundamental…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Edgar Dobriban , Yue Sheng

Forecasting mob based cattle weight gain (MB CWG) may benefit large livestock farms, allowing farmers to refine their feeding strategies, make educated breeding choices, and reduce risks linked to climate variability and market…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Muhammad Riaz Hasib Hossain , Rafiqul Islam , Shawn R McGrath , Md Zahidul Islam , David Lamb

We study the effectiveness of non-uniform randomized feature selection in decision tree classification. We experimentally evaluate two feature selection methodologies, based on information extracted from the provided dataset: $(i)$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-25 Anastasios Kyrillidis , Anastasios Zouzias

Statistical methods for metric spaces provide a general and versatile framework for analyzing complex data types. We introduce a novel approach for constructing confidence regions around new predictions from any bagged regression algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Diego Serrano , Eduardo García-Portugués

Random forests and, more generally, (decision\nobreakdash-)tree ensembles are widely used methods for classification and regression. Recent algorithmic advances allow to compute decision trees that are optimal for various measures such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Christian Komusiewicz , Pascal Kunz , Frank Sommer , Manuel Sorge

Generalization to out-of-distribution (OOD) data is a critical challenge in machine learning. Ensemble-based methods, like weight space ensembles that interpolate model parameters, have been shown to achieve superior OOD performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Yong Lin , Lu Tan , Yifan Hao , Honam Wong , Hanze Dong , Weizhong Zhang , Yujiu Yang , Tong Zhang

Random Forests and related tree-based methods are popular for supervised learning from table based data. Apart from their ease of parallelization, their classification performance is also superior. However, this performance, especially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Tom Hanika , Johannes Hirth

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

An increasing array of biomedical and computer vision applications requires the predictive modeling of complex data, for example images and shapes. The main challenge when predicting such objects lies in the fact that they do not comply to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-17 Dimosthenis Tsagkrasoulis , Giovanni Montana

This papers proposes a generic, high-level methodology for generating forecast combinations that would deliver the optimal linearly combined forecast in terms of the mean-squared forecast error if one had access to two population…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Elliot Beck , Damian Kozbur , Michael Wolf

The prevailing mindset is that a single decision tree underperforms classic random forests in testing accuracy, despite its advantages in interpretability and lightweight structure. This study challenges such a mindset by significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Qiangqiang Mao , Yankai Cao