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We study a multivariate Hawkes process with long-range interactions, where the interaction strength decays as a power-law in the distance of the particles with exponent $1+\alpha.$ Our main focus is on the long-time asymptotic behavior of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Nadia Belmabrouk

A standard approach to computing expectations with respect to a given target measure is to introduce an overdamped Langevin equation which is reversible with respect to the target distribution, and to approximate the expectation by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 A. B. Duncan , T. Lelievre , G. A. Pavliotis

In this short note we consider semi-Markov processes satisfying the condition of direction-time independence (Markov renewal processes). We derive large deviation principles and fluctuation theorems for the empirical current and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-19 A. Faggionato

In the last decade Hawkes processes have received much attention as models for functional connectivity in neural spiking networks and other dynamical systems with a cascade behavior. In this paper we establish a renewal approach for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mads Bonde Raad

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

A uniform law of large numbers and a central limit theorem are established via a martingale approach for a univariate Hawkes process with immigration given by a renewal process. The results are obtained for renewal processes with absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Luis Iván Hernández Ruíz

In this paper we develop the large deviations principle and a rigorous mathematical framework for asymptotically efficient importance sampling schemes for general, fully dependent systems of stochastic differential equations of slow and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

We prove a Large Deviations Principle (LDP) for systems of diffusions (particles) interacting through their ranks, when the number of particles tends to infinity. We show that the limiting particle density is given by the unique solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Amir Dembo , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , S. R. Srinivasa Varadhan , Ofer Zeitouni

We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the renewal Poisson cluster process and the Hawkes process. Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Fabien Baeriswyl , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Wintenberger

We derive logarithmic asymptotics of probabilities of small deviations for iterated processes in the space of trajectories. We find conditions under which these asymptotics coincide with those of processes generating iterated processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Andrei N. Frolov

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ioan Scheffel , Marco Oesting , Gilles Stupfler

Weak convergence of the empirical copula process is shown to hold under the assumption that the first-order partial derivatives of the copula exist and are continuous on certain subsets of the unit hypercube. The assumption is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Johan Segers

We investigate the limiting behavior of discrete determinantal point processes (DPPs) towards continuous DPPs when the size of the set to sample from goes to infinity. We propose a non-asymptotic characterization of this limit in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Hugo Jaquard , Nicolas Keriven

We establish a large deviation principle for the empirical spectral measure of a sample covariance matrix with sub-Gaussian entries, which extends Bordenave and Caputo's result for Wigner matrices having the same type of entries [7]. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Benjamin Groux

In this paper, we show that the basic results in large deviations theory hold for general monetary risk measures, which satisfy the crucial property of max-stability. A max-stable monetary risk measure fulfills a lattice homomorphism…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-19 Michael Kupper , José Miguel Zapata

We consider a class of Markov processes with resettings, where at random times, the Markov processes are restarted from a predetermined point or a region. These processes are frequently applied in physics, chemistry, biology, economics, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

Central limit theorems are established for the sum, over a spatial region, of observations from a linear process on a $d$-dimensional lattice. This region need not be rectangular, but can be irregularly-shaped. Separate results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 S. N. Lahiri , Peter M. Robinson
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