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The Covid-19 outbreak of 2020 has required many governments to develop mathematical-statistical models of the outbreak for policy and planning purposes. This work provides a tutorial on building a compartmental model using Susceptibles,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-27 Ryad Ghanam , Edward L. Boone , Abdel-Salam G. Abdel-Salam

We introduce the concept of epidemic-fitted wavelets which comprise, in particular, as special cases the number $I(t)$ of infectious individuals at time $t$ in classical SIR models and their derivatives. We present a novel method for…

This paper presents a study on a compartmental epidemic model for COVID-19, examining the stability of its equilibrium points upon the introduction of vaccination as a strategy to mitigate the spread of the disease. Initially, the SIQR…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Leonardo R. S. Rodrigues , Felipe Gabrielli

Introduction: For COVID-19 patients accurate prediction of disease severity and mortality risk would greatly improve care delivery and resource allocation. There are many patient-related factors, such as pre-existing comorbidities that…

The 2019 Novel Corona virus infection (COVID 19) is an ongoing public health emergency of international focus. Significant gaps persist in our knowledge of COVID 19 epidemiology, transmission dynamics, investigation tools and management,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Anca Radulescu , Cassandra Williams , Kieran Cavanagh

This paper introduces new methods to analyze the changing progression of COVID-19 cases to deaths in different waves of the pandemic. First, an algorithmic approach partitions each country or state's COVID-19 time series into a first wave…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-18 Nick James , Max Menzies , Peter Radchenko

Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

During the unfolding of a crisis, it is crucial to determine its severity, yet access to reliable data is challenging. We investigate the relation between geolocated Tweet Intensity of initial COVID-19 related tweet at the beginning of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-23 Jeremy Turiel , Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes , Tomaso Aste

The world is facing a tough situation due to the catastrophic pandemic caused by novel coronavirus (COVID-19). The number people affected by this virus are increasing exponentially day by day and the number has already crossed 6.4 million.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 A K M Bahalul Haque , Tahmid Hasan Pranto , Abdulla All Noman , Atik Mahmood

COVID-19 has been affecting every aspect of societal life including human mobility since December, 2019. In this paper, we study the impact of COVID-19 on human mobility patterns at the state level within the United States. From the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Songhe Wang , Kangda Wei , Lei Lin , Weizi Li

As of December 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 75 million people, making it the deadliest pandemic in modern history. This study develops a novel compartmental epidemiological model specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-19 Caden Lin

Analyzing large datasets and summarizing it into useful information is the heart of the data mining process. In healthcare, information can be converted into knowledge about patient historical patterns and possible future trends. During the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Dheeman Saha , Aaron Segura , Biraj Tiwari

The objective of this work is to predict the spread of COVID-19 starting from observed data, using a forecast method inspired by probabilistic weather prediction systems operational today. Results show that this method works well for China:…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-31 Roberto Buizza

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

Semi-supervised clustering methods incorporate a limited amount of supervision into the clustering process. Typically, this supervision is provided by the user in the form of pairwise constraints. Existing methods use such constraints in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-26 Toon Van Craenendonck , Hendrik Blockeel

We introduce a Bayesian sequential data assimilation method for COVID-19 forecasting. It is assumed that suitable transmission, epidemic and observation models are available and previously validated and the transmission and epidemic models…

During 2020 and 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission has been increasing amongst the world's population at an alarming rate. Reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and other diseases that are spread in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Patrick Urrutia , David Wren , Chrysafis Vogiatzis , Ruriko Yoshida

Timely access to accurate scientific literature in the battle with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is critical. This unprecedented public health risk has motivated research towards understanding the disease in general, identifying drugs to…

Clustering ensemble is one of the most recent advances in unsupervised learning. It aims to combine the clustering results obtained using different algorithms or from different runs of the same clustering algorithm for the same data set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-22 Ashraf Mohammed Iqbal , Abidalrahman Moh'd , Zahoor Khan

An epidemiological model is developed for the spread of COVID-19 in South Africa. A variant of the classical compartmental SEIR model, called the SEIQRDP model, is used. As South Africa is still in the early phases of the global COVID-19…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 L. E. Olivier , I. K. Craig
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