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Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

We give a pedagogical review of the application of field theoretic and path integral methods to calculate moments of the probability density function of stochastic differential equations perturbatively.

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-10-10 Carson C. Chow , Michael A. Buice

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

We present an approach to the dynamics of interacting particle systems, which allows to derive path integral formulas from purely stochastic considerations. We show that the resulting field theory is a dual version of the standard theory of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-26 Alexandre lefevre , Giulio Biroli

We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Weichao Wu , Athanasios C. Micheas

A new technique for calculating the time-evolution, correlations and steady state spectra for nonlinear stochastic differential equations is presented. To illustrate the method, we consider examples involving cubic nonlinearities in an…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 S. Chaturvedi , P. D. Drummond

In the context of Markov processes, we show a new scheme to derive dual processes and a duality function based on a boson representation. This scheme is applicable to a case in which a generator is expressed by boson creation and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Jun Ohkubo

We present a new path integral method to analyze stochastically perturbed ordinary differential equations with multiple time scales. The objective of this method is to derive from the original system a new stochastic differential equation…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2007-08-20 Tobias Schaefer Richard O. Moore

In the setting of additive regression model for continuous time process, we establish the optimal uniform convergence rates and optimal asymptotic quadratic error of additive regression. To build our estimate, we use the marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-11 Mohammed Debbarh , Bertrand Maillot

By using path integrals, the stochastic process associated to the time evolution of the quantum probability density is formally rewritten in terms of a stochastic differential equation, given by Newton's equation of motion with an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-01-04 Marco Patriarca

Time-series data augmentation mitigates the issue of insufficient training data for deep learning models. Yet, existing augmentation methods are mainly designed for classification, where class labels can be preserved even if augmentation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Xiyuan Zhang , Ranak Roy Chowdhury , Jingbo Shang , Rajesh Gupta , Dezhi Hong

We consider a generic class of stochastic particle-based models whose state at an instant in time is described by a set of continuous degrees of freedom (e.g. positions), and the length of this set changes stochastically in time due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Samuel Cameron , Elsen Tjhung

We use series expansions to study dynamics of equilibrium and non-equilibrium systems on networks. This analytical method enables us to include detailed non-universal effects of the network structure. We show that even low order…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 M. B. Hastings

We derive a stochastic path integral representation of counting statistics in semi-classical systems. The formalism is introduced on the simple case of a single chaotic cavity with two quantum point contacts, and then further generalized to…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 S. Pilgram , A. N. Jordan , E. V. Sukhorukov , M. Buttiker

A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Myrl G. Marmarelis

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

Many important stochastic counting models can be written as general birth-death processes (BDPs). BDPs are continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers and can be used to easily parameterize a rich variety of probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

We consider models of the population or opinion dynamics which result in the non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) exhibiting the spurious long-range memory. In this context, the correspondence between the description of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-28 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We present a new method for detecting superdiffusive behaviour and for determining rates of superdiffusion in time series data. Our method applies equally to stochastic and deterministic time series data (with no prior knowledge required of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Ian Melbourne

In this paper, we consider the composition of two independent processes : one process corresponds to position and the other one to time. Such processes will be called iterated processes. We first propose an algorithm based on the Euler…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Michèle Thieullen , Alexis Vigot