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The design of data-driven formulations for machine learning and decision-making with good out-of-sample performance is a key challenge. The observation that good in-sample performance does not guarantee good out-of-sample performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Amine Bennouna , Bart Van Parys , Ryan Lucas

We examine a stochastic formulation for data-driven optimization wherein the decision-maker is not privy to the true distribution, but has knowledge that it lies in some hypothesis set and possesses a historical data set, from which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Gar Goei Loke , Taozeng Zhu , Ruiting Zuo

We propose a statistically optimal approach to construct data-driven decisions for stochastic optimization problems. Fundamentally, a data-driven decision is simply a function that maps the available training data to a feasible action. It…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-18 Tobias Sutter , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Daniel Kuhn

Data-driven optimization uses contextual information and machine learning algorithms to find solutions to decision problems with uncertain parameters. While a vast body of work is dedicated to interpreting machine learning models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Alexandre Forel , Axel Parmentier , Thibaut Vidal

When the underlying conditional density is known, conditional expectations can be computed analytically or numerically. When, however, such knowledge is not available and instead we are given a collection of training data, the goal of this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-19 George V. Moustakides

This work addresses inverse linear optimization where the goal is to infer the unknown cost vector of a linear program. Specifically, we consider the data-driven setting in which the available data are noisy observations of optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

We formulate the problem of performing optimal data compression under the constraints that compressed data can be used for accurate classification in machine learning. We show that this translates to a problem of minimizing the mutual…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-04 Jingchao Gao , Ao Tang , Weiyu Xu

Given data generated by an observable stochastic process, we study how to construct statistically optimal decisions for general stochastic optimization problems. Our setting encompasses non-standard data structures, including data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Radek Salač , Michael Kupper , Tobias Sutter

This study presents the extension of the data-driven optimal prediction approach to the dynamical system with control. The optimal prediction is used to analyze dynamical systems in which the states consist of resolved and unresolved…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Aleksandr Katrutsa , Ivan Oseledets , Sergey Utyuzhnikov

We study optimization for data-driven decision-making when we have observations of the uncertain parameters within the optimization model together with concurrent observations of covariates. Given a new covariate observation, the goal is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

The exponential growth of volume, variety and velocity of data is raising the need for investigations of automated or semi-automated ways to extract useful patterns from the data. It requires deep expert knowledge and extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Abbas Raza Ali , Marcin Budka , Bogdan Gabrys

This paper deals with optimal policy learning (OPL) with observational data, i.e. data-driven optimal decision-making, in multi-action (or multi-arm) settings, where a finite set of decision options is available. It is organized in three…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-01 Giovanni Cerulli

We develop a new computing paradigm, which we refer to as data-driven computing, according to which calculations are carried out directly from experimental material data and pertinent constraints and conservation laws, such as compatibility…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-04-20 Trenton Kirchdoerfer , Michael Ortiz

Optimum parameter estimation methods require knowledge of a parametric probability density that statistically describes the available observations. In this work we examine Bayesian and non-Bayesian parameter estimation problems under a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 George V. Moustakides

Learning theory has traditionally followed a model-centric approach, focusing on designing optimal algorithms for a fixed natural learning task (e.g., linear classification or regression). In this paper, we adopt a complementary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Steve Hanneke , Shay Moran , Alexander Shlimovich , Amir Yehudayoff

The optimization of composition and processing to obtain materials that exhibit desirable characteristics has historically relied on a combination of scientist intuition, trial and error, and luck. We propose a methodology that can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Julia Ling , Max Hutchinson , Erin Antono , Sean Paradiso , Bryce Meredig

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

A common concern when a policymaker draws causal inferences from and makes decisions based on observational data is that the measured covariates are insufficiently rich to account for all sources of confounding, i.e., the standard no…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Tao Shen , Yifan Cui

While data-driven decision-making is transforming modern operations, most large-scale data is of an observational nature, such as transactional records. These data pose unique challenges in a variety of operational problems posed as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Dimitris Bertsimas , Nathan Kallus
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