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We study time series concerning rare events. The occurrence of a rare event is depicted as a jump of constant intensity always occurring in the same direction, thereby generating an asymmetric diffusion process. We consider the case where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paolo Grigolini , Luigi Palatella , Giacomo Raffaelli

Numerical climate models are complex and combine a large number of physical processes. They are key tools in quantifying the relative contribution of potential anthropogenic causes (e.g., the current increase in greenhouse gases) on high…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

Anomaly detection for time-series data has been an important research field for a long time. Seminal work on anomaly detection methods has been focussing on statistical approaches. In recent years an increasing number of machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Mohammad Braei , Sebastian Wagner

The goal of anomaly detection is to identify observations that are generated by a distribution that differs from the reference distribution that qualifies normal behavior. When examining a time series, the reference distribution may evolve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Etienne Krönert , Dalila Hattab , Alain Celisse

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in automated monitoring systems. Most previous deep learning efforts related to time series anomaly detection were based on recurrent neural networks (RNN). In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Tailai Wen , Roy Keyes

Time series data are often corrupted by outliers or other kinds of anomalies. Identifying the anomalous points can be a goal on its own (anomaly detection), or a means to improving performance of other time series tasks (e.g. forecasting).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 François-Xavier Aubet , Daniel Zügner , Jan Gasthaus

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

Anomaly detection is a branch of data analysis and machine learning which aims at identifying observations that exhibit abnormal behaviour. Be it measurement errors, disease development, severe weather, production quality default(s) (items)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-11 Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Romain Valla

Anomaly detection in time series data is a critical challenge across various domains. Traditional methods typically focus on identifying anomalies in immediate subsequent steps, often underestimating the significance of temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in identifying anomalous structure within multivariate data streams. We consider the problem of detecting collective anomalies, corresponding to intervals where one or more of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-05 Alexander T M Fisch , Idris A Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Detecting anomalies in time series data is a challenging task with broad relevance in many applications. Existing methods work effectively only under idealized conditions, typically focusing on point anomalies or assuming a constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yiyin Zhang , Florian Pein , Idris Eckley

Multivariate time series anomaly detection is essential for failure management in web application operations, as it directly influences the effectiveness and timeliness of implementing remedial or preventive measures. This task is often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Yongzheng Xie , Hongyu Zhang , Muhammad Ali Babar

This paper investigates unsupervised anomaly detection in multivariate time-series data using reinforcement learning (RL) in the latent space of an autoencoder. A significant challenge is the limited availability of anomalous data, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Saba Sanami , Amir G. Aghdam

Anomaly detection in database management systems (DBMSs) is difficult because of increasing number of statistics (stat) and event metrics in big data system. In this paper, I propose an automatic DBMS diagnosis system that detects anomaly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-26 Doyup Lee

We prove that a time series satisfying a (linear) multivariate autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model satisfies the same model assumption in the reversed time direction, too, if all innovations are normally distributed. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-03 Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jonas Peters

Classical anomaly detection is principally concerned with point-based anomalies, those anomalies that occur at a single point in time. Yet, many real-world anomalies are range-based, meaning they occur over a period of time. Motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Nesime Tatbul , Tae Jun Lee , Stan Zdonik , Mejbah Alam , Justin Gottschlich

Many methods have been proposed for unsupervised time series anomaly detection. Despite some progress, research on predicting future anomalies is still relatively scarce. Predicting anomalies is particularly challenging due to the diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Shiyan Hu , Kai Zhao , Xiangfei Qiu , Yang Shu , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

The time-series anomaly detection is one of the most fundamental tasks for time-series. Unlike the time-series forecasting and classification, the time-series anomaly detection typically requires unsupervised (or self-supervised) training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Haksoo Lim , Sewon Park , Minjung Kim , Jaehoon Lee , Seonkyu Lim , Noseong Park

Time series anomaly detection is challenging due to the complexity and variety of patterns that can occur. One major difficulty arises from modeling time-dependent relationships to find contextual anomalies while maintaining detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Chih-Yu Lai , Fan-Keng Sun , Zhengqi Gao , Jeffrey H. Lang , Duane S. Boning